Rio Ave aim to build on their much-needed 1-0 victory over Tondela, though defender Nelson Abbey is doubtful after picking up a knock. As Rio Ave and Estrela seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Despite the aforementioned win, Rio Ave’s overall form remains weak—just 0.70 points per game—and their scoring problems persist, with the team failing to score in 70% of matches this season. At home, Os Rioavistas average only 0.80 goals per match, highlighting ongoing attacking issues.
Estrela, meanwhile, head into this fixture with forward Abraham Marcus doubtful after he scored in the 2-2 draw with Gil Vicente. Estrela’s form has been more stable, taking points in three of their last five matches and maintaining a balanced 1.00 PPG both home and away. The visitors score more consistently than Rio Ave, averaging 1.00 goal per away match, though defensive frailties still show with 1.80 conceded on the road.
As Rio Ave score only 0.50 per match and both teams average low xG numbers, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rio Ave 1 - 1 Estrela
Rio Ave vs Estrela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joao Gastao @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Joao Gastao @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rio Ave +0.5 @ -286 Odds
- European Handicap: Rio Ave +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rio Ave - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Rio Ave vs Estrela?
You can place your bets on Rio Ave vs Estrela at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferRio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlllllldw | 0.70 |
| Home | wllld | 0.80 |
| Away | llllw | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.64 | 1.79 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlldwlldd | 1.00 |
| Home | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Away | wldld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.63 | 1.78 |
Rio Ave vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rio Ave (57%)
7 Matches
Estrela (14%)
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