Sporting return to league action with a heavily depleted defensive line, as Araujo, Hjulmand, and Inácio are all suspended. However, the reigning champions have strength in depth and we predict that they will defeat Casa Pia 3-0. Even so, Sporting’s strong home form—80% home win rate and 3.6 goals scored per home match—should give them confidence. Geny Catamo’s return from international duty adds extra width and pace, which could be crucial given Sporting’s attacking reliance along the flanks.
Casa Pia travel to Lisbon with their own setback as Geraldes is suspended, weakening their midfield balance. Their away form has been mixed, collecting 1.4 points per game on the road and scoring in every away match this season. Defensively, however, they remain vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per away game and keeping just 20% clean sheets overall.
Historically, this matchup has been entirely one-sided: Sporting have won all 8 previous meetings, with 75% of them producing over 2.5 goals and a high 63% BTTS rate. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Sporting Over 1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 16 January 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Sporting vs Casa Pia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sporting 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Sporting vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | dlwwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 2.33 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 0.88 | 1.88 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdl | 0.90 |
| Home | lldld | 0.40 |
| Away | dwlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.23 | 1.42 |
Sporting vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sporting (100%)
8 Matches
Casa Pia (0%)
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