Sporting vs Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/05/2026

Sporting vs Guimaraes Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

3 May 2026 • 13:21 UTC • 1 min read

Sporting vs Guimaraes Prediction and Betting Tips 4 May 2026

Sporting and Guimaraes face off in an intriguing clash, with both teams showing mixed recent form. As the Lions are eager to book their spot in the Champions League, we predict a 2-1 home win. Sporting have a 1.60 points per game over their last 10 matches, with a solid home record of 1.40 points and an overall win rate of 40%. The Lions average 2.70 goals per game overall, with a 50% BTTS rate. Winger Geny Catamo is a major doubt, but the title holders have strength in depth.

Guimaraes have a similar overall win percentage of 40%, but their form dips away with only 0.80 points per game and a 20% win rate. The visitors score an average of 2.80 goals per match, with a BTTS rate of 50%. Historically, Sporting holds the edge with 19 wins in 32 head-to-head encounters, and over half of those matches saw over 2.5 goals.

Given Sporting's slight ight edge based on head-to-head stats and home record, we predict Home Win, alongside Sporting Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Sporting vs Guimaraes prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Sporting 2 - 1 Guimaraes

Sporting vs Guimaraes Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -175 Odds
First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 260 Odds
Asian Handicap: Guimaraes +2 @ -160 Odds
European Handicap: Guimaraes +3 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -1000 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -138 Odds
Clean Sheet: Sporting - No @ -138 Odds

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Sporting Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwlwdlddd	1.60
Home	wwlld	1.40
Away	wwddd	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	3.80	1.60
Scored	1.80	2.40	1.20
Conceded	0.90	1.40	0.40
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	40%	20%	60%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.91	2.41	1.40
Expected Goals Against	1.24	1.15	1.34

Guimaraes Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wldlllwdww	1.40
Home	wdlww	2.00
Away	llldw	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.00	2.60
Scored	1.50	2.20	0.80
Conceded	1.30	0.80	1.80
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	40%	20%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.49	1.59	1.38
Expected Goals Against	1.12	0.94	1.30