Tondela vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips | 13/02/2026

Tondela vs Alverca Prediction and Betting Tips | 13 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

11 February 2026 • 16:12 UTC • 1 min read

Tondela vs Alverca Prediction and Betting Tips 13 February 2026

Tondela continue their search for consistency as they return home following a lively 2–2 draw with Estoril. Given Alverca's attacking potential on the road, yet another high-scoring draw (2-2) is on the cards. Important defender Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful and with Tondela conceding 1.50 goals per match overall and posting an xGA of 1.71 at home, his absence could be felt. Offensively, the hosts remain limited, scoring just 0.80 goals per game and failing to find the net in 50% of their fixtures. Their overall form (LLLDD) also highlights a group struggling for rhythm.

Alverca, meanwhile, visit after a 2–1 defeat to Benfica, but their form across the last five matches (WWLDL) remains stronger than that of the hosts. The visitors will miss key midfielder Lincoln, yet they still average 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded overall, with a significantly higher 3.20 goals per game in away fixtures. Their away defensive record is shaky, but they tend to create chances, shown by an expected goals of 0.87 despite results fluctuating.

The H2H history favours Alverca, who have claimed two wins in three meetings, while Tondela are yet to beat them. As both sides have found the net in 67% of their previous H2H meetings, we are tempted to bet on BTTS. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Alverca or Draw bets seem interesting as the visitors' away games average 3.20 goals.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:45.

What is our Tondela vs Alverca prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Tondela 2 - 2 Alverca

Tondela vs Alverca Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 500 Odds
Asian Handicap: Alverca +0.5 @ -200 Odds
European Handicap: Alverca +1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 333 Odds
Clean Sheet: Tondela - No @ -225 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Tondela vs Alverca?

You can place your bets on Tondela vs Alverca at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llldd	0.80
Home	llwld	0.80
Away	wllld	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	2.00	2.60
Scored	0.80	0.80	0.80
Conceded	1.50	1.20	1.80
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	50%	60%	40%
Expected Goals	0.91	0.89	0.94
Expected Goals Against	1.49	1.71	1.27

Alverca Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwldl	1.30
Home	wlwwd	2.00
Away	wllll	0.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	2.00	3.20
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.80
Conceded	1.70	1.00	2.40
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	40%	20%
Failed to Score	30%	20%	40%
Expected Goals	1.05	1.23	0.87
Expected Goals Against	1.59	1.38	1.80