Tondela are eager to upset Braga with a fully available squad, but given their anything but brilliant form, we predict a 2-1 away win. Cristiano Bacci’s side sit on 0.80 points per game, with identical home and away returns, reflecting their struggle for consistency. Offensively, they average just 0.8 goals scored both home and away and have failed to score in 50% of their matches overall. Defensively they concede 1.5 goals per game, and their expected goals numbers (1.20 for, 1.31 against) suggest they are competitive in phases but lack the cutting edge needed to convert performances into results.
Braga, on the other hand, are seen as hot favourites to win this match as they are strengthened by the return of star man Ricardo Horta. The Reds operate at a much higher level, posting 2.00 points per game overall and a strong 63% away win rate. Their attack is particularly dangerous on the road with 2.13 goals scored per away match, while defensively they maintain stability by conceding only 1 goal per game in all environments. Historically, Braga dominate this fixture with 13 wins in 15 meetings, underlining a clear mismatch.
Given Braga's away scoring average of 2.13, Away Team Over 1.5 goals seems like value bet, alongside Away Win and Braga to Score First.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Tondela vs Braga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tondela 1 - 3 Braga
Tondela vs Braga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fran Navarro @ 130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferTondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwl | 0.80 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Away | ldwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.37 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.28 |
Braga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wd | 2.00 |
| Away | lwdwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.50 | 3.13 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.26 |
Tondela vs Braga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tondela (13%)
15 Matches
Braga (87%)
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