Tondela vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips | 07/12/2025

Tondela vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips | 7 December 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

4 December 2025 • 18:45 UTC • 1 min read

Tondela vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips 7 December 2025

Following a 1-0 win over Gil Vicente, Tondela will try to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 13, but given their negative record against Porto, we predict a 2-1 win for the Dragons. Os Auriverdes defended well in the triumph over Os Galos, but they will have a much bigger fish to fry against the title hopefuls. Their expected goals against at home of 1.71 is not giving fans a reason for optimism.

Porto, on the other hand, are on a four-game winning run in all competitions, with the team being determined to regain the Primeira Liga trophy. The Dragons aim to keep their 100% record on the road (6-0-0) intact, but they will have to prove their worth on the field. The fact that boss Francesco Farioli can count on key players for Sunday’s clash definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction.

With Porto winning 6 of their last 7 meetings (85%) with Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso, Away Win seem like the best betting option for this matchup, alongside Over 1.5 goals (65% H2H) and Samu to Score.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 7 December 2025 at 20:30.

What is our Tondela vs Porto prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Tondela 1 - 2 Porto

Tondela vs Porto Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-2
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Luuk de Jong @ -120 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Tondela vs Porto?

You can place your bets on Tondela vs Porto at the following bookmakers:

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Best 🏆

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldldw	1.20
Home	dlld	0.50
Away	lwldw	1.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	0%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	1.00	3.33
Scored	1.00	0.00	1.67
Conceded	1.40	1.00	1.67
BTTS	30%	0%	50%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	17%
Failed to Score	60%	100%	33%
Expected Goals	1.36	1.73	1.11
Expected Goals Against	1.62	1.71	1.56

Porto Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwwww	2.30
Home	dwwww	2.60
Away	wlwdw	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.20	2.00	2.40
Scored	1.70	1.80	1.60
Conceded	0.50	0.20	0.80
BTTS	30%	20%	40%
Clean Sheets	60%	80%	40%
Failed to Score	20%	20%	20%
Expected Goals	1.66	1.55	1.78
Expected Goals Against	0.80	0.79	0.81