The Emirates Stadium will be packed when title-chasing Arsenal host already-relegated Burnley in a Premier League clash with very different stakes at both ends of the table. Given the huge gap in quality and motivation between the two teams, we predict a 3-0 home win. Mikel Arteta’s side continue their push to cement top spot after grinding out a narrow 1-0 win over West Ham, extending a run of solid but controlled performances. Arsenal have been defensively elite at home, conceding just 0.40 goals per game in their last 10 matches at the Emirates while winning 80% of those fixtures. Martin Odegaard and Kai Havertz are both pushing for starts, though Ben White is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock.
Burnley travel to London with little more than pride to play for after their relegation was confirmed. The Clarets are on a four-game losing streak away from home and have struggled throughout the season, averaging just 0.80 goals scored per away match while conceding 2.60. Hannibal Mejbri is expected to miss out, adding to their limited creativity in midfield. Historically, Arsenal have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of the last 20 meetings.
Given Arsenal's strong home defence against a low-scoring Burnley side, anything but a routine Home Win would be a big surprise, alongside Arsenal to Win to Nil and Arsenal -1.5.
This Premier League match will be played on Monday 18 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Arsenal vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 3 - 0 Burnley
Arsenal vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kai Havertz @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kai Havertz @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Hannibal Mejbri @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Arsenal -2 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Arsenal -2 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -6600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Arsenal to Win/Arsenal to Win @ -250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - Yes @ -200 Odds
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View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldlwdwww | 1.70 |
| Home | ldwww | 2.00 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.02 | 1.35 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldllllld | 0.30 |
| Home | ldlld | 0.40 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.89 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
Arsenal vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (75%)
20 Matches
Burnley (5%)
Arsenal vs Burnley Past Results
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