All eyes will be on Emirates Stadium when Arsenal and Liverpool lock horn in the Premier League derby. As Mikel Arteta’s men look unstoppable at the moment, we predict a 3-1 home win. The Gunners are determined to retain top position and their expected goals at home of 2.10 is surely fueling fans with optimism ahead of Thursday’s derby. The fact that key attacker Bukayo Saka is back from suspension definitely goes in favour of our betting pick.
The Reds, on the other hand, dropped two points in a 2-2 draw with Fulham at the weekend, with the team remaining in 4th place in the standings. Mo Salah is still on international duty and with both Hugo Ekitike and Alexander Isak missing out with injuries, we do not believe that there is value in betting on Arne Slot’s troops. It has to be noted that Liverpool have been scoring only 1.40 goals per game of late. Fit-again forward Cody Gakpo is widely expected to lead the line for the visiting side.
Given Arsenal’s splendid form during the festive fixtures, Home Win is our main betting tip, with additional value on BTTS (70% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (59%).
This Premier League match will be played on Thursday 8 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 3 - 1 Liverpool
Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 137 Odds
- To be booked: Conor Bradley @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Arsenal vs Liverpool?
You can place your bets on Arsenal vs Liverpool at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 2.18 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.80 | 1.36 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdd | 1.90 |
| Home | ldwwd | 1.60 |
| Away | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 2.19 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 |
Arsenal vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (24%)
46 Matches
Liverpool (33%)
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
Man City
Brighton
PSG
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Exeter
