Arsenal look set to extend their strong run under Mikel Arteta as they host Sunderland. As the league leaders have turned their Emirates Stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 3-1 home win. The Gunners have been dominant at home, averaging 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 goals per match and conceding 1.5. Their overall attacking numbers are impressive, with 3.75 goals per game at home and an expected goals of 2.07, reflecting their ability to create high-quality chances. Arsenal have also kept 25% clean sheets at home, though BTTS occurs in 75% of their home fixtures, suggesting vulnerability at the back. Winger Bukayo Saka should be fit, while midfielder Mikel Merino remains sidelined.
Sunderland’s away form struggles, with 0.60 points per game and just 0.60 goals scored per match, while key players Granit Xhaka and Bertrand Traore remain sidelined. Adding to their woes, towering centre-back Omar Alderete picked up a knock in a 3-0 win over Sunderland. Their defensive numbers show 1.6 goals conceded per away game, leaving them exposed to Arsenal’s attack.
Taking everything into account, Arsenal home form and quality should edge Sunderland. Therefore, we predict Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Arsenal Over 1.5 due to Arsenal's high-scoring home record.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Arsenal vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 3 - 1 Sunderland
Arsenal vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 350 Odds
- To be booked: Luke O'Nien @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Arsenal -1.5 @ -112 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -1400 Odds
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View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlww | 2.30 |
| Home | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.75 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 2.25 | 2.83 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.83 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.19 | 1.64 |
Arsenal vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (58%)
24 Matches
Sunderland (8%)
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