What is our Aston Villa vs Man City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 1 - 2 Man City
Aston Villa vs Man City Preview
Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Villa Park when Aston Villa and Manchester City go head to head in a fascinating Premier League showdown. Unai Emery’s men will be eager to build on their hard-fought 1-0 win over Newcastle, where they deservedly claimed maximum points after registering 1.57 xG. Johan Manzambi has overcome a minor injury after scoring the winner at St James’ Park, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka remains sidelined. Villa’s attacking threat is clear, having averaged 2.25 goals per home game, but containing City will be a major challenge.
The Citizens, meanwhile, are determined to maintain their perfect start to the league campaign after edging Ipswich 3-2 at the weekend. Antoine Semenyo’s serious injury is a setback, meaning Jeremy Doku should retain his place in the starting XI. Enzo Maresca's side have looked formidable on their travels, winning every recent away game and conceding just 0.25 goals per match. The good news for the league leaders is that Erling Haaland has overcome his minor injury.
Villa’s recent improvement should make this a competitive contest, but City’s consistency gives them the edge. With both sides capable of creating chances, we predict Man City win, alongside Over 2.5 goals, Haaland to Score.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:30.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct, 12:30UK time
Aston Villa vs Man City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreAston Villa 1-2 Man City | 17/2 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | 2/11 | |
| Draw No BetMan City | 2/7 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeMan City / Man City | 6/4 | |
| Asian HandicapMan City -0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European HandicapAston Villa +2 | 1/2 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Clean SheetMan City: No | 1/3 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerErling Haaland | 4/7 | |
| First GoalscorerErling Haaland | 11/4 | |
| To be BookedVitor Reis | 2/1 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 8/5 |
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View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwwwdwww | 2.30 |
| Home | ldww | 1.75 |
| Away | dwwwww | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.17 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 1.99 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.60 | 1.73 |
Man City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwwlww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwwlww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 5.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.67 | 0.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 2.03 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.12 |
Aston Villa vs Man City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available





