Bournemouth head into Saturday's clash boosted by a solid defensive display in their 0–0 draw with West Ham, extending their unbeaten run to five matches. As Sunderland do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Cherries have been fairly reliable at home, averaging 1.75 points per game and scoring 2.25 goals per home match. Their attacking metrics remain strong with 1.58 xG at home, though defensive concerns persist—conceding 2.00 goals on average and keeping 0% clean sheets in home fixtures. The returns of Ryan Christie and David Brooks offer extra creativity.
Sunderland continue to struggle with inconsistency, losing three of their last four league matches. Away from home, the Black Cats currently average only 0.83 points per match, scoring 0.67 goals while conceding 1.83. Their 1.60 xGA away highlights structural issues, though the return of influential midfielder Granit Xhaka should improve stability and ball progression. However, injuries to Nordi Mukiele and Jocelin Ta Bi further weaken their defensive depth.
Historically, the matchup is balanced (2–1–2), but current form and underlying numbers favour the home side, especially given Bournemouth’s superior offensive output. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Over 1.5 and 2.5 goals as Bournemouth average 4.25 goals per home game.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bournemouth 2 - 1 Sunderland
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Eli Junior Kroupi @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Eli Junior Kroupi @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke O'Nien @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bournemouth -0.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Bournemouth +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bournemouth to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bournemouth to Win/Bournemouth to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bournemouth - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
You can place your bets on Bournemouth vs Sunderland at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBournemouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwd | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Away | ddwwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.58 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.46 | 2.02 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwl | 1.10 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | ldllw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.60 |
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bournemouth (40%)
5 Matches
Sunderland (40%)
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