Burnley vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips | 28/02/2026

Burnley vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips | 28 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

24 February 2026 • 10:23 UTC • 1 min read

Burnley vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips 28 February 2026

Burnley (welcome Brentford to their Turf Moor in a clash where both sides desperately need points for very different reasons. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, we predict a 2-2 draw. The Clarets sit eight points behind the safe zone, but they arrive with renewed belief after a gritty 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge, and they also report no fresh injury concerns. Their home numbers show promise going forward – averaging 2.00 goals per game at Turf Moor – yet defensive issues persist, with 0% clean sheets this season and 1.80 goals conceded on average.

Brentford, meanwhile, remain in the hunt for Europe, sitting five points off the continental places. The Bees travel well, boasting an impressive 83% away win rate and scoring 1.83 goals per away match. Their expected-goals profile is strong too, with 1.57 xG away from home, and they’ve kept 50% clean sheets on the road. The H2H history suggests goals: 71% of their last seven meetings have gone over 2.5, with BTTS landing in 57%.

Backed by both sides’ strong attacking metrics and unreliable defending, Over 2.5 goals, Brentford or Draw and BTTS are our main betting tips for this Premier League matchup.

This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 15:00.

What is our Burnley vs Brentford prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Burnley 2 - 2 Brentford

Burnley vs Brentford Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Igor Thiago @ 120 Odds
First Goalscorer: Igor Thiago @ 450 Odds
To be Booked: Josh Stephenson @ 240 Odds
Asian Handicap: Brentford +0.5 @ -167 Odds
European Handicap: Brentford +1 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
Clean Sheet: Bournemouth - No @ -400 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Burnley vs Brentford?

You can place your bets on Burnley vs Brentford at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Best 🏆

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Burnley Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llwll	0.90
Home	dwdll	1.00
Away	ldlwl	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.80	2.60
Scored	1.40	2.00	0.80
Conceded	1.80	1.80	1.80
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	1.16	1.58	0.74
Expected Goals Against	1.83	1.77	1.89

Brentford Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdwl	1.90
Home	wldl	1.00
Away	wlwww	2.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	25%	83%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	2.25	2.83
Scored	1.50	1.00	1.83
Conceded	1.10	1.25	1.00
BTTS	30%	25%	33%
Clean Sheets	40%	25%	50%
Failed to Score	30%	50%	17%
Expected Goals	1.53	1.47	1.57
Expected Goals Against	1.36	1.14	1.51