Burnley host Everton at Turf Moor with both sides looking to return to winning ways, but with the Toffees producing fine performances under David Moyes this season, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. The Clarets have struggled overall, picking up just 0.7 points per game and winning only 20% of their matches. Despite averaging 3.1 total goals per game, Burnley’s issues stem from the defensive end, conceding 1.9 goals on average and keeping clean sheets only 10% of the time. No fresh injury worries for Burnley, but both Axel Tuanzebe and Lyle Foster on international duty.
Everton head into Saturday's clash weakened by the absence of key Senegalese duo Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye due to AFCON, which significantly reduces their midfield balance and attacking threat. Still, the Toffees have been slightly more consistent, collecting 1.3 points per game and conceding only 1.0 goal per away match. Everton’s games tend to be tighter, with BTTS landing in just 20% of fixtures, suggesting a more cautious approach here.
Given Everton’s low-scoring trend and Burnley's recent struggles, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Draw and BTTS - No. In their last meeting at the venue, Everton defeated Burnley 2-0, which goes in favour of our main betting pick.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Everton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 1 Everton
Burnley vs Everton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Thierno Barry @ 225 Odds
- To be booked: James Tarkowski @ 275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllld | 0.70 |
| Home | wllll | 0.60 |
| Away | wllld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.39 | 1.75 |
Everton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwll | 1.30 |
| Home | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Away | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.21 | 1.81 |
Burnley vs Everton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (37%)
19 Matches
Everton (58%)
