Man City will look to climb to top position in the standings as they travel to Turf Moor to face struggling Burnley in a Premier League mismatch on paper. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 4-0 away win. The Clarets come into this fixture on the back of a heavy 4-1 defeat to Nottingham Forest, and their survival hopes look increasingly slim. Their form has been poor, averaging just 0.50 points per game over the last 10 matches, while conceding 2.20 goals per game. Injuries to Amdouni, Beyer, Mejbri, and Roberts further weaken an already fragile squad.
Manchester City, meanwhile, are brimming with confidence after a 2-1 win over Arsenal and boast strong overall form with 2.00 points per game. The Citizens average 1.90 goals scored per match and have kept 40% clean sheets across their last 10 games. Even with defensive absences in Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, Pep Guardiola still has elite depth available. Historically, this is one of City’s most dominant fixtures, winning 19 of the last 23 meetings, with 74% of those games producing over 2.5 goals.
Given City's dominant H2H and attacking strength, Away Win seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Man City -1.5 and Man City to Win to Nil bets seem appealing.
This Premier League match will be played on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Burnley vs Man City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 0 - 4 Man City
Burnley vs Man City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-4 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -334 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 175 Odds
- To be Booked: Kyle Walker @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City -2 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Man City -1 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Man City to Win @ -2500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Man City to Win/Man City to Win @ -188 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Man City - Yes @ -125 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldlldlll | 0.50 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.67 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.65 |
Man City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwldlwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | wwldww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.04 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.29 | 1.10 |
Burnley vs Man City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (4%)
23 Matches
Man City (83%)
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Freiburg
Braga
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Chelsea
Sunderland
Manchester United
