Burnley continue their battle for momentum as they prepare to host Tottenham, hoping to build on a 1-1 draw with Liverpool. Spurs, though, have been producing fine displays on the road this term and we predict that they will defeat the relegation strugglers 1-0. The Clarets have collected just 0.83 points per game at home, with a modest 17% home win rate, though they do score 1.67 goals per match at Turf Moor. Defensive issues remain significant, as Burnley concede 1.67 goals per home game and keep clean sheets only 17% of the time. Maxime Esteve should recover in time to start, offering some stability at the back.
Tottenham, on the other hand, have been struggling to find their best form, with the team earning only 1.00 point per game away and suffering three straight league defeats. Thomas Frank's side score just 0.75 goals per away match, but remain defensively reliable on the road, keeping 50% clean sheets. With Ben Davies joining the injury list, Djed Spence is expected to step in, while Spurs still generate a respectable 1.12 expected goals away from home.
Historically, Tottenham dominate this matchup, winning 16 of 23 meetings (70%), while Burnley have beaten them only three times. Given Tottenham's fine away record, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win. Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets should also be considered as Spurs’ away scoring (0.75 gpg) and strong defensive numbers suggest a tight match.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Tottenham prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 0 - 1 Tottenham
Burnley vs Tottenham Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dominic Solanke @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Malachi Hardy @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwd | 0.70 |
| Home | ldldw | 0.83 |
| Away | ldld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.49 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.23 |
Tottenham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlll | 1.10 |
| Home | wldll | 1.17 |
| Away | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.82 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.39 |
Burnley vs Tottenham Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (13%)
23 Matches
Tottenham (70%)
