Crystal Palace return to Selhurst Park looking to build on their impressive 1-0 win over Brighton, despite still missing key attacker Jean-Philippe Mateta, who remains in the recovery room. As Burnley are running down a blind alley, we predict a 1-0 home win. Palace’s home numbers continue to underwhelm, with only 0.50 points per game and a low scoring rate of 0.50 goals per home match. The Eagles have failed to score in 50% of their home outings and produce just 1.46 expected goals at Selhurst Park. Defensively, however, they are slightly more reliable, keeping 25% clean sheets at home.
Burnley, meanwhile, were poor in a 2-0 defeat to West Ham and remain plagued by injuries, with Amdouni, Beyer, Cullen and Roberts all sidelined. Their away form is worrying, taking just 0.50 points per game, scoring only 0.50 goals, and failing to score in half of their road matches. The Clarets also concede heavily away from home (1.75 goals on average) and their xGA sits at a concerning 2.10.
Palace have the slight historical edge, winning 10 of 25 H2H meetings, and their recent lift in confidence may be decisive. Given Palace's better momentum and Burnley’s long injury list, Home Win is our main betting tip. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals bets seem appealing as both teams struggle for goals (Palace avg 1.75 total at home).
This Premier League match will be played on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Crystal Palace vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Burnley
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jorgen Larsen @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jorgen Larsen @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Hannibal Mejbri @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Burnley +1.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Burnley +2 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Crystal Palace to Win @ -600 Odds
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View OfferCrystal Palace Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldw | 0.70 |
| Home | lddl | 0.50 |
| Away | llldw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.46 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.40 | 1.54 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddll | 0.80 |
| Home | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | dldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.46 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.01 | 1.95 | 2.10 |
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Crystal Palace (40%)
25 Matches
Burnley (36%)
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