Fulham come into this matchup in decent overall shape, but Marco Silva has to cope with notable absences. Given Liverpool's promising form on the road, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Fulham head into the match with a severely-weakened squad as all Bassey, Chukwueze and Iwobi are all away on international duty, while Kenny Tete is a major doubt after picking up a knock in the 1–1 draw with Crystal Palace. Despite that, Fulham remain competitive at Craven Cottage, where their games average 3.50 total goals, and they score 1.75 goals per match. Encouragingly for the hosts, they have not failed to score at home, and their 1.65 home xG underlines their ability to create chances, even against stronger opposition.
Arne Slot's men travel to West London still missing Mohamed Salah due to the 2025 AFCON, and his absence was clearly felt in a dull 0–0 draw with Leeds United last time out. That said, the Reds have been extremely reliable on the road, collecting 2.50 points per game away from home and winning 75% of their away matches. Liverpool score 2.00 goals per away game and boast a strong defensive base, conceding just 1.00 goal per match on their travels, backed up by a solid 1.17 xGA. While their overall scoring numbers dip without Salah, The Reds still generate quality chances (1.92 xG overall) and remain well-equipped to punish defensive lapses. The head-to-head history strongly favours Liverpool, who have won 58% of the last 26 meetings, with 69% of those games clearing Over 1.5 goals.
Taking everything into account, there is big value in betting on Liverpool to Win (75% away win rate; Fulham weakened by absences), alongside Oer 2.5 goals (50% H2H) and BTTS (50%)
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Fulham vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fulham 1 - 2 Liverpool
Fulham vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 120 Odds
- To be booked: Sasa Lukic @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferFulham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wllw | 1.50 |
| Away | wwlwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.65 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.13 | 1.57 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwd | 1.80 |
| Home | ldwwd | 1.33 |
| Away | wdww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.92 | 2.21 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.23 | 1.17 |
Fulham vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Fulham (19%)
26 Matches
Liverpool (58%)
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