Leeds United will look to put icing on the cake after securing Premier League survival with a valuable 1-1 draw against Tottenham, but with Brighton wanting this win more, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Daniel Farke’s side have been particularly impressive at Elland Road lately, winning three of their last four home matches while conceding just 0.25 goals per game there. Leeds are averaging 2.25 goals scored per home fixture during that stretch, but defender Pascal Struijk is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock against Spurs. With safety secured, the Whites can now play with freedom against one of the league’s form teams.
Brighton, meanwhile, continue their push to secure a Conference League place after a comfortable 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton. Fabian Hurzeler’s men have been one of the most consistent sides in recent weeks, winning seven of their last 10 matches while averaging 1.80 goals scored per game. The Seagulls have also been solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in 50% of their last 10 outings. Kaoru Mitoma remains doubtful, but Brighton’s squad depth has allowed them to maintain strong performances throughout the campaign. The visitors also boast an excellent recent head-to-head record, winning 12 of the previous 21 meetings with Leeds.
The Seagulls arrive in stronger overall form and remain highly motivated. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Premier League matchup, alongside Brighton Over 1.5 and BTTS (43% H2H).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Leeds United vs Brighton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 1 - 2 Brighton
Leeds United vs Brighton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Yankuba Minteh @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Brighton 0 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Brighton +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Brighton to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Brighton to Win/Brighton to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Brighton - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdddwwdlwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wdww | 2.50 |
| Away | ddwdld | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.80 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 0.91 | 1.74 |
Brighton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwwdwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 0.96 | 1.43 |
Leeds United vs Brighton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (14%)
21 Matches
Brighton (57%)
Leeds United vs Brighton Past Results
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