What is our Leeds United vs Brighton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 1 - 2 Brighton
Leeds United vs Brighton Preview
Leeds United will look to put icing on the cake after securing Premier League survival with a valuable 1-1 draw against Tottenham, but with Brighton wanting this win more, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Daniel Farke’s side have been particularly impressive at Elland Road lately, winning three of their last four home matches while conceding just 0.25 goals per game there. Leeds are averaging 2.25 goals scored per home fixture during that stretch, but defender Pascal Struijk is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock against Spurs. With safety secured, the Whites can now play with freedom against one of the league’s form teams.
Brighton, meanwhile, continue their push to secure a Conference League place after a comfortable 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton. Fabian Hurzeler’s men have been one of the most consistent sides in recent weeks, winning seven of their last 10 matches while averaging 1.80 goals scored per game. The Seagulls have also been solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in 50% of their last 10 outings. Kaoru Mitoma remains doubtful, but Brighton’s squad depth has allowed them to maintain strong performances throughout the campaign. The visitors also boast an excellent recent head-to-head record, winning 12 of the previous 21 meetings with Leeds.
The Seagulls arrive in stronger overall form and remain highly motivated. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Premier League matchup, alongside Brighton Over 1.5 and BTTS (43% H2H).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 15:00.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Sun 17 May, 15:00UK time
Leeds United vs Brighton Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreLeeds United 1-2 Brighton | 900 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -300 | |
| Draw No BetBrighton | -188 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeBrighton / Brighton | 250 | |
| Asian HandicapBrighton 0 | -191 | |
| European HandicapBrighton +1 | -300 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -163 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -125 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -700 | |
| Clean SheetBrighton: No | -300 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerDanny Welbeck | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerDanny Welbeck | 500 | |
| To be BookedYankuba Minteh | 160 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Leeds United vs Brighton?
You can place your bets on Leeds United vs Brighton at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdddwwdlwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wdww | 2.50 |
| Away | ddwdld | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.80 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 0.91 | 1.74 |
Brighton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwwdwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 0.96 | 1.43 |
Leeds United vs Brighton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (14%)
21 Matches
Brighton (57%)





