Leeds United aim to bounce back from their heavy 4-0 defeat to Arsenal, but their home numbers at Elland Road remain encouraging ahead of Forest’s visit. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The Whites average 1.75 points per game at home, scoring 1.50 goals per match, and their expected goals figures (1.55 for, 1.31 against) suggest they generally perform at a slightly higher level than their results sometimes show. Defensive lapses remain an issue, though, with Leeds conceding in 75% of their home fixtures.
Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, travel well, taking 1.40 PPG away from home and scoring 1.60 goals per match on their travels. However, the suspension of Neco Williams and a major injury doubt over goalkeeper Matz Sels weaken their defensive stability. The Reds' away games average 3.20 total goals, highlighting their open style.
Leeds’ home strength versus a weakened Forest defence gives the hosts a slight edge, but goals at both ends look likely. As Forest away games average 3.20 goals, we are tempted to bet on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Home Win.
This Premier League match will be played on Friday 6 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdl | 1.40 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | ddlwd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.37 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.37 |
Nottingham Forest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwd | 1.20 |
| Home | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Away | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.37 |
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (29%)
24 Matches
Nottingham Forest (42%)
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