Liverpool will be eager to bounce back from a 3-2 defeat to Manchester United as they host Chelsea in a crucial Premier League derby, with the Reds still fighting to secure a top-four finish. As Chelsea have little to play for in Saturday's game, we predict a 2-1 home win. Injuries to Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak, and Hugo Ekitike are significant blows for the hosts, reducing their attacking firepower, but their home form remains solid, averaging 2.00 goals scored and conceding just 0.80 per game at Anfield. Overall, Liverpool’s recent form has been inconsistent (1.30 points per game), though their matches still produce 3.10 goals on average, reflecting an open style of play.
Chelsea, meanwhile, come into this clash with little at stake after securing European football via the FA Cup. Their recent performances have been poor (0.90 points per game), and defensively they’ve struggled, conceding 2.10 goals per match, including a worrying 3.25 on average away from home. With Reece James and Jamie Gittens doubtful, Chelsea’s defensive stability could be further weakened.
Given Liverpool's stronger motivation and home form, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Liverpool Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both sides involved in high-scoring games).
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
Liverpool vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Isak @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Isak @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Dario Essugo @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Liverpool 0 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Chelsea +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Liverpool to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Liverpool to Win/Liverpool to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Liverpool - No @ -350 Odds
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View OfferLiverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlllwlwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | dwwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 2.17 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.38 | 1.65 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwlllwl | 0.60 |
| Home | llwllwl | 0.86 |
| Away | lll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.86 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.57 | 3.67 |
| BTTS | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.89 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.02 | 1.65 |
Liverpool vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Liverpool (33%)
48 Matches
Chelsea (29%)
Liverpool vs Chelsea Past Results
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