Liverpool host Newcastle United looking to bounce back after a 3-2 loss to Bournemouth. Given Newcastle's poor away record, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. Manager Arne Slot is expected to rotate his squad, with both Hugo Ekitike and Andy Robertson pushing for starts. At home, Liverpool have won 60% of matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game and conceding 0.6, while clean sheets sit at 40%. Expected goals at home is 2.37, highlighting their attacking threat, and BTTS is 60%, showing goals at both ends are possible.
The Magpies, meanwhile, head into the match on the back of a 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa but should have Joelinton available. Away from home, Eddie Howe's men win 33% of matches, scoring 1.0 goal per game and conceding 0.67, with a 33% clean sheet record. Their expected goals away is 1.85, suggesting they create chances but struggle to convert consistently. Nick Woltemade is widely expected to replace Yoane Wissa in the starting XI.
Historically, Liverpool dominate the H2H with 65% wins in 34 meetings, though games often feature goals, with 65% over 2.5 goals. As Newcastle have been struggling on the travels this season, we predict Home Win, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Liverpool 2 - 1 Newcastle
Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Sandro Tonali @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Liverpool -0.5 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLiverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Away | wddwl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.81 | 2.37 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.98 | 1.34 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wdlwl | 1.57 |
| Away | lwd | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.71 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.71 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.54 | 1.13 |
Liverpool vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Liverpool (65%)
34 Matches
Newcastle (15%)
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Everton
West Ham
Burnley
Brentford
Barcelona
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
