Manchester City will look to make amends for the unsuccessful Premier League campaign when they welcome Aston Villa to the Etihad Stadium on the final day of the season. As the Villans have nothing to play for in this match, we predict a 3-1 home win. Pep Guardiola's troops are eager to help the Spanish tactician record in his last game as the City manager, but the lack of motivation could be a big problem for the hosts. Man City's home record has been particularly dominant, with five straight wins at the Etihad and only 0.4 goals conceded per match there. All Rayan Cherki, Phil Phoden, Omar Marmoush, and Savinho pushing for a start after coming off the bench in a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth that ruined their title hopes
Aston Villa, meanwhile, could struggle physically after their Europa League final against Freiburg. Unai Emery’s men have already secured Champions League football, so rotation is expected for the visitors. Villa’s away form has also been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five away matches. History strongly favours Manchester City, who have won 24 of the previous 35 meetings between the sides.
Man City are in outstanding home form and should dominate against a potentially rotated Villa side. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, Over 2.5 goals (63% H2H), and Erling Haaland to Score.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00.
What is our Man City vs Aston Villa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Man City vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 210 Odds
- To be Booked: Douglas Luiz @ 250 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City -1 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Man City -1 @ -105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Man City to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Man City to Win/Man City to Win @ 100 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Man City - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwdwwwd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.06 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.89 | 1.05 |
Aston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwlllwdw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.31 | 1.57 |
Man City vs Aston Villa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (69%)
35 Matches
Aston Villa (20%)
Man City vs Aston Villa Past Results
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