What is our Man City vs Aston Villa prediction?
Man City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
Our prediction for this match: Man City 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Man City vs Aston Villa Preview
Manchester City will look to make amends for the unsuccessful Premier League campaign when they welcome Aston Villa to the Etihad Stadium on the final day of the season. As the Villans have nothing to play for in this match, we predict a 3-1 home win. Pep Guardiola's troops are eager to help the Spanish tactician record in his last game as the City manager, but the lack of motivation could be a big problem for the hosts. Man City's home record has been particularly dominant, with five straight wins at the Etihad and only 0.4 goals conceded per match there. All Rayan Cherki, Phil Phoden, Omar Marmoush, and Savinho pushing for a start after coming off the bench in a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth that ruined their title hopes
Aston Villa, meanwhile, could struggle physically after their Europa League final against Freiburg. Unai Emery’s men have already secured Champions League football, so rotation is expected for the visitors. Villa’s away form has also been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five away matches. History strongly favours Manchester City, who have won 24 of the previous 35 meetings between the sides.
Man City are in outstanding home form and should dominate against a potentially rotated Villa side. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, Over 2.5 goals (63% H2H), and Erling Haaland to Score.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 16:00.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Sun 24 May, 16:00UK time
Man City vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreMan City 3-1 Aston Villa | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance12 | 1/6 | |
| Draw No BetMan City | 1/8 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeMan City / Man City | 1/1 | |
| Asian HandicapMan City -1 | 23/40 | |
| European HandicapMan City -1 | 20/21 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Clean SheetMan City: No | 4/9 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerErling Haaland | 4/9 | |
| First GoalscorerErling Haaland | 21/10 | |
| To be BookedDouglas Luiz | 5/2 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 13/8 |
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwdwwwd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.06 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.89 | 1.05 |
Aston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwlllwdw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.31 | 1.57 |
Man City vs Aston Villa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (69%)
35 Matches
Aston Villa (20%)
Man City vs Aston Villa Past Results
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