After failing to break the deadlock in a goalless draw with Sunderland, Man City are eager to return to winning ways on Matchday 20. Given Chelsea’s recent defensive struggles, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. The Citizens failed to turn their dominance into victory at Stadium of Light despite their high expected goals (2.24). Pep Guardiola’s men have been scoring 2.20 goals per game at home of late, meaning that Man City Over 1.5 goals bet boasts big value. With Savinho limping off with injury against the Black Cats, Jeremy Doku is likely to step up, while Rodri should replace Nico (injury) in the starting XI.
The Blues, on the other hand, experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth. As a result, Enzo Maresca is no longer in charge of the Stamford Bridge outfit. Given the current situation in the Chelsea dressing room, away win should not be considered. It has to be noted that the capital club have been conceding 1.60 goals per game on the road in recent weeks. Adding to their woes, important midfielder Moises Caicedo misses the Man City game through suspension.
Man City are leading the H2H (54%) and given aforementioned statistical data, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Man City Over 1.5.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Man City vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 3 - 1 Chelsea
Man City vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -200 Odds
- To be booked: Moises Caicedo @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwd | 2.50 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.82 | 2.14 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 0.79 | 1.33 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdld | 1.30 |
| Home | wdwld | 1.60 |
| Away | ldlwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.26 | 1.45 |
Man City vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (54%)
48 Matches
Chelsea (33%)
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