Wolverhampton will try to claim a major scalp in the Premier League round 23, but with Man City turning their Etihad Stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 4-0 home win. The Citizens head into this David vs Goliath clash sitting 2nd, and despite injuries to Josko Gvardiol, John Stones, and Savinho, Pep Guardiola’s squad depth should cover the absences. City’s home consistency remains formidable: they average 2.20 points per game at the Etihad, scoring 3.40 goals per home match, while conceding just 0.60. Their 60% home BTTS rate reflects occasional defensive lapses, but with 40% clean sheets and an xGA of 0.74, they remain structurally dominant.
Wolves, stuck at the bottom in 20th, arrive after a tight 0-0 draw with Newcastle and with no fresh injuries. However, their away numbers underline the task ahead: 0.50 points per away game, 0% away win rate, and 1.50 goals conceded on average. They do score in most away matches (100% BTTS rate away) but lack defensive resilience, recording 0% away clean sheets. Their xGA of 1.71 on the road is one of the weakest among bottom-tier sides.
Considering Man City's dominant home numbers and Wolves’ poor away form, anything but a routine Home Win would be a big surprise. Man City/Man City and Over 3.5 goals markets also boast big value.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Man City vs Wolves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 4 - 0 Wolves
Man City vs Wolves Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -250 Odds
- To be booked: Andre Trindade @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | wwdwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 2.06 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.74 | 1.24 |
Wolves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwd | 0.90 |
| Home | llwwd | 1.17 |
| Away | lldd | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.38 | 1.71 |
Man City vs Wolves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (71%)
24 Matches
Wolves (17%)
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