There will be fireworks when Manchester United host Liverpool in one of football’s fiercest rivalries. As Liverpool continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. United come into the clash in strong form, winning six of their last 10 matches (2.00 points per game), and boasting an impressive 80% win rate at home. Their attacking output has been consistent, averaging 1.70 goals per game, while they’ve scored in every one of their last 10 outings. Left back Luke Shaw is doubtful for the hosts.
Liverpool, meanwhile, arrive off a 3–1 win over Crystal Palace but have struggled on the road, losing four of their last five away matches and picking up just 0.60 points per game. The absence of Mohamed Salah is a major blow, especially given their away scoring average of just 0.60 goals. Defensively, the Reds have also conceded 2.00 goals per game away from home.
Given Man Utd's strong home form and Liverpool’s away struggles, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Man Utd Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (consistent in H2H clashes).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Manchester United 2 - 1 Liverpool
Manchester United vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Sesko @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Benjamin Sesko @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Casemiro @ 150 Odds
- European Handicap: Liverpool +2 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -225 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Man Utd to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Man Utd - No @ -450 Odds
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View OfferManchester United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwlwdlww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | dwldw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 2.12 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.52 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlllwlww | 1.30 |
| Home | dwwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | llllw | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.38 | 1.59 |
Manchester United vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Manchester United (40%)
47 Matches
Liverpool (36%)
Manchester United vs Liverpool Past Results
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