What is our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction?
Newcastle
2 - 2
Aston Villa
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 2 - 2 Aston Villa
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Preview
Expect a thrilling atmosphere at St. James’ Park when Newcastle welcome Aston Villa for what promises to be an interesting Premier League encounter. The Magpies are eager to bounce back from their disappointing 4-1 defeat to Coventry, although they created several clear-cut chances that could have changed the outcome. Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey remain sidelined, while Amar Dedic and Joelinton are pushing for starting places. Newcastle have struggled to keep opponents at bay, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per home game in their recent fixtures.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, are still trying to find consistency after losing several first-team regulars. However, recent performances have offered Unai Emery some encouragement, particularly the 3-2 victory over Tottenham and a 2-2 draw with Brentford. Leon Goretzka, Amadou Onana and Luca Ruggeri are among those unavailable through injury, leaving Villa with selection headaches. Nevertheless, their away record has been considerably stronger than their home form, with a 57% win rate on the road.
As both sides have attacking quality but defensive vulnerabilities, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 3.5 yellow cards, and Over 2.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Sat 17 Oct, 17:30UK time
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreNewcastle 2-2 Aston Villa | 1100 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -188 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 550 | |
| Asian HandicapAston Villa +0.5 | -167 | |
| European HandicapAston Villa +1 | -150 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -225 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -175 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 130 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Clean SheetNewcastle: No | -500 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerNicolas Jackson | 160 | |
| First GoalscorerNicolas Jackson | 600 | |
| To be Booked Joelinton | 150 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
You can place your bets on Newcastle vs Aston Villa at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwwdwlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | lddwdw | 1.50 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.83 | 1.47 |
Aston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwlwwwdw | 1.70 |
| Home | lldw | 1.00 |
| Away | ldwwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.50 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.55 | 1.84 |
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (41%)
34 Matches
Aston Villa (26%)
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Past Results
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