Newcastle United host Aston Villa in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League clash. As both sides are capable of scoring, we predict a 1-1 draw at St. James' Park. The Magpies are without defenders Burn, Livramento, and Schar, but have no fresh injury concerns following a goalless draw with Wolverhampton. Newcastle have been strong at home this season, averaging 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.17 goals per home match, and keeping clean sheets in 17% of their home games. Their expected goals figure of 1.72 per home match reflects a reasonably solid attacking threat.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, are hit by John McGinn's injury, but maintain an impressive away record, collecting 2.17 points per game and scoring 1.67 goals per match on the road. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their away matches, highlighting a penchant for high-scoring encounters. Historically, Newcastle have won 13 of the last 32 head-to-heads, with over 1.5 goals in 72% of matches. There are no other fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
Given Villa’s attacking consistency and Newcastle’s home advantage, this game is likely to be competitive with goals at both ends. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on BTTS, alongside Over 1.5 goals and Draw.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Joelinton @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdld | 1.50 |
| Home | dwwdl | 1.83 |
| Away | llwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.17 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.83 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.50 | 1.05 |
Aston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwl | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | wwldw | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.52 |
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (41%)
32 Matches
Aston Villa (25%)
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