Newcastle United host Brentford in a Premier League clash that could shape the top-half race. Bruno Guimaraes is expected to return, providing a boost in midfield, but the Magpies still have multiple absentees including Emil Krafth, Joelinton, Jamaal Lascelles, Valentino Livramento, and Fabian Schaer. At St James’ Park, Newcastle average 1.67 points per home game, scoring 2 goals per match and conceding 1.67, with BTTS landing in 33% of home fixtures. Their expected goals of 1.70 at home reflects solid attacking creativity, though defensive lapses remain a concern.
Brentford travel to Tyne and Wear without midfielder Kevin Schade, banned, and Rico Henry is a major doubt, but the Bees’ away form is impressive, with 2 points per game, scoring 1.5 goals per match and conceding only 1. Their defensive solidity is reflected in 50% clean sheets overall. The fact that Brentford are on a four-game losing run at St. James' Park definitely supports our betting angle.
Historically, this fixture produces goals, with 77% of meetings over 2.5 goals and 77% seeing both teams score. Considering Newcastle's home advantage and H2H dominance, we predict Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Newcastle Over 1.5.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Newcastle vs Brentford prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford
Newcastle vs Brentford Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Igor Thiago @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Igor Thiago @ 500 Odds
- To be booked: Michael Kayode @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Newcastle 0 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Newcastle to Win @ -200 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.50 |
| Home | wdlwl | 1.67 |
| Away | wddl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.67 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.73 |
Brentford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.90 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
Newcastle vs Brentford Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (69%)
13 Matches
Brentford (23%)
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