All eyes will be on St. James’ Park when Newcastle United and Liverpool lock horns in a highly-anticipated Premier League opener. As Newcastle head into the new season with a severely-weakened squad, we predict a 2-1 away win. The Magpies have struggled for consistency during preseason, particularly at the back, conceding 1.60 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Newcastle have also kept just one clean sheet during that period, while 80% of their games saw both teams find the net. Joelinton is injured, while Bazoumana Toure, Amar Dedic, Aladji Bamba, and Sean Steur are all in line for their Premier League debuts. Sandro Tonali, Anthony Gordon, Kieran Trippier, and Bruno Guimaraes have all departed.
Liverpool, meanwhile, have also endured some mixed results, winning only three of their last 10 matches. The Reds have strengthened at centre-back with Ronald Araujo and Jeremy Jacquet, while winger Victor Munoz has also arrived. PSG star Bradley Barcola is reportedly close to joining, but Mohamed Salah has left the club. Joe Gomez and Hugo Ekitike miss out through injury, while new boss Andoni Iraola will be hoping to make an immediate impact. Alexander Isak is widely expected to lead the line for the visiting team.
Liverpool have dominated this fixture historically, winning 23 of 35 recent meetings and with several first-team regulars leaving Newcastle in the summer transfer window, Away Win should be considered. Additionally, Over 1.5 Yellow Cards First Half, and Over 2.5 goals total bets seem appealing (Six of the last nine H2H meetings produced at least three goals).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 1 - 2 Liverpool
Newcastle vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Isak @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Isak @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Dan Burn @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Liverpool 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle +2 @ -5000 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Liverpool to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Liverpool to Win/Liverpool to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Liverpool - No @ -334 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwdlwlld | 1.20 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | dldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.69 | 1.33 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldwwlldw | 1.20 |
| Home | ddwwlldw | 1.50 |
| Away | ll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 38% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.00 | 5.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.38 | 3.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 63% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.36 | 1.81 |
Newcastle vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (14%)
35 Matches
Liverpool (66%)
