Newcastle United look to bounce back from their shock 3-2 defeat to Everton, but their task becomes more difficult with key midfielder Bruno Guimaraes still unavailable. Given Man Utd's signs of improvement, we predict a 2-1 away win. Newcastle’s recent numbers show a team that plays in high-event matches: they average 4.30 total goals per game, score 2.20, and concede 2.10. Alarmingly, the Magpies have 0% clean sheets this season, while BTTS has landed in 100% of their fixtures. At St James’ Park, they produce 1.95 expected goals, but defensive lapses (2.67 conceded on average at home) remain a major concern.
Manchester United travel to Newcastle in strong form after a 2-1 comeback win over Crystal Palace, though both Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw are doubtful. United have won 60% of their league matches and average 2.90 goals per game overall. Their away form is steady, with 1.80 PPG and 80% BTTS. Defensively, they concede 1.20 goals per away match, but still manage 20% clean sheets, significantly better than Newcastle.
Historically, United dominate this matchup with 20 wins from 36 meetings. Given Bruno Guimaraes' absence and Man Utd's fine form, our prediction leans toward Away Win, with additional value on BTTS (Newcastle 100% BTTS; Man Utd 80% BTTS away), and Over 2.5 goals (both sides average over 3.0 goals in their matches).
This Premier League match will be played on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 1 - 2 Manchester United
Newcastle vs Manchester United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Sesko @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Benjamin Sesko @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Casemiro @ 160 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle +2 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Man Utd to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Newcastle - No @ -500 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwwwlwl | 1.30 |
| Home | lwl | 1.00 |
| Away | dllwwwl | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.33 | 2.14 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.67 | 1.86 |
| BTTS | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.29 | 1.65 |
Manchester United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlwwwwdww | 2.10 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | ddwdw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.82 | 2.08 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.21 |
Newcastle vs Manchester United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (25%)
36 Matches
Manchester United (56%)
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