Nottingham Forest return to Premier League action looking to respond after a disappointing FA Cup defeat to Wrexham, but given Arsenal's excellent away record, we predict a 3-1 away win. The return of key midfielder Ibrahima Sangare adds much-needed stability for the Reds, but their form remains inconsistent, with three losses in their last five and only a 33% home win rate. At the City Ground, they average 1.33 goals scored but concede a similar 1.33, keeping clean sheets in just 33% of home fixtures.
The league leaders, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five (wwwdw) and posting an impressive 80% away win rate, scoring 2.40 goals per away match. Defensively, the Gunners remain reliable, conceding only 1.00 on their travels, while Calafiori’s expected return should bolster their back line further. Arsenal’s attacking metrics are superior across the board, reflected in their 1.90 expected goals compared to Forest’s 1.64. Both Hincapie and Mosquera remain in the recovery room, but Mikel Arteta has strength in depth.
Head-to-head history strongly favours Arsenal, who have won 7 of the last 11 meetings, with 73% of these clashes producing over 2.5 goals. Given Arsenal's better form and away metrics, we predict Away Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (73% H2H) and Arsenal Over 1.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nottingham Forest 1 - 3 Arsenal
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 130 Odds
- To be booked: Christian Norgaard @ 260 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNottingham Forest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwd | 1.30 |
| Home | wll | 1.00 |
| Away | wllwd | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.66 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.28 |
Arsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdw | 2.30 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 2.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 0.82 | 1.40 |
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nottingham Forest (27%)
11 Matches
Arsenal (64%)
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