Sunderland head into this clash after a 3-1 loss to West Ham and given their fine home record, we predict that they will defeat Burnley 1-0 on Matchday 24. Their home form is better than away, with a 50% win rate at home, scoring 1 goal per home game and conceding 0.5. Overall, Sunderland struggle to score consistently, with 40% of matches seeing them fail to score and expected goals of 1.26. Granit Xhaka is injured for the hosts, but they are still seen as favourites to win Monday's clash.
Burnley head into the match following a 2-2 draw with Tottenham, with Lyle Foster expected to start after scoring as a sub. Their away form is poor (0.5 points per game), scoring just 0.75 goals on average, but both teams score in 75% of away matches, reflecting vulnerability at the back. Burnley’s expected goals away is 0.78, indicating limited attacking threat.
As Sunderland have turned their Stadium of Light into a real fortress, Home Win should be considered, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Burnley struggle offensively on the road.
This Premier League match will be played on Monday 2 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Sunderland vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sunderland 1 - 0 Burnley
Sunderland vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Brian Brobbey @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Brian Brobbey @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Luis Florentino @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sunderland -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwl | 1.10 |
| Home | wddw | 2.00 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.72 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdd | 0.80 |
| Home | dldwd | 1.00 |
| Away | ldld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.43 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.05 | 1.92 | 2.23 |
Sunderland vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sunderland (29%)
14 Matches
Burnley (36%)
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