Sunderland host Leeds United in a clash that could be heavily influenced by availability and contrasting home-away trends. Given the attacking potential of the two teams, a 2-2 draw is on the cards at Stadium of Light. The Black Cats have several players away on international duty, which slightly thins their options, but their home form remains solid. Sunderland average 2.2 points per game at home, scoring 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 1.0. They have also avoided defeat in their last five on home soil, with BTTS landing in 60% of home games. However, the defensive numbers are a concern, as their expected goals against at home stands at 1.51.
The Whites arrive after an emphatic 4-1 win over Crystal Palace, with confidence high, yet their away form is a major red flag. Leeds average just 0.2 points per game on the road, with a 0% away win rate and 2.4 goals conceded per away match. While their games are open and entertaining, producing 3.7 total goals per game, they have failed to keep a clean sheet all season.
Leeds matches average 3.7 goals and given Sunderland's fine goal-scoring record at Stadium of Light, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for Sunday's Premier League clash, with even bigger value on Over 1.5 goals and BTTS.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 28 December 2025 at 14:00.
What is our Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sunderland 2 - 2 Leeds United
Sunderland vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Jayden Bogle @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferSunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | wldld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.51 | 2.15 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddw | 1.10 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
Sunderland vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sunderland (29%)
7 Matches
Leeds United (29%)
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