Sunderland return to the Stadium of Light after a heavy 3-0 defeat at Arsenal, aiming to lean on their stronger home form, where they average 2.00 points per game and concede just 0.50 goals. Nonetheless, we predict a 2-1 away win as Liverpool do not suit the Saints. Despite winning 50% of their home fixtures, the Black Cats' attacking output remains inconsistent, failing to score in 25% of matches here. Statistically, Sunderland’s xGA at home (1.27) suggests they tend to allow more chances than the scorelines show. Their squad is weakened by injuries to Bi J.T., Traore, and Xhaka, limiting rotation in key areas.
Liverpool head into the midweek clash after a painful 2-1 loss to Man City, but they remain one of the league’s most dangerous offensive sides, averaging 2.30 goals per game and producing an impressive 2.06 expected goals overall. Away form has been shakier (just 1.25 PPG) and their defensive numbers drop on the road, conceding 1.25 goals per match. The Reds are also without Dominik Szoboszlai, suspended after his red card, removing a major creative presence from midfield.
Historically, Liverpool dominate this matchup, with 12 wins from 21 meetings, and their superior firepower makes them favourites despite recent inconsistencies. Considering Liverpool's superior squad & scoring average of 2.30 goals, we predict Away Win, alongside Liverpool Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Wednesday 11 February 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Sunderland vs Liverpool prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sunderland 1 - 2 Liverpool
Sunderland vs Liverpool Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke O'Nien @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Liverpool -0.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Sunderland +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Liverpool to Win @ -334 Odds
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View OfferSunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ddww | 2.00 |
| Away | dldll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.27 | 1.70 |
Liverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wdwwl | 1.83 |
| Away | ddwl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.61 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.96 | 1.29 |
Sunderland vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sunderland (10%)
21 Matches
Liverpool (57%)
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Everton
West Ham
Burnley
Brentford
Barcelona
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
