As Man City are eager to melt Arsenal's advantage in the Premier League standings, we predict that they will record a 2-1 win over Tottenham in Sunday's derby. Thomas Frank's men head into this clash on the back of a 2-2 draw with Burnley, but their injury list remains long with key players Richarlison, Bentancur, Kudus, Kulusevski, and Bergvall out. Home form has been poor this season: just 20% win rate, scoring 1.2 goals per home game and conceding 1.4, while 80% of home matches see both teams scoring. Their expected goals at home is 1.74, showing they create chances but struggle to convert consistently.
Man City come off a 2-0 win over Wolves, with Erling Haaland expected to start and Rodri back from suspension. City are clinical at home and decent on the road, averaging 2.2 goals away with 1.2 conceded, and expected goals away of 1.58. Their overall win rate is 50%, reflecting strong consistency against most sides. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team which definitely supports our betting angle.
Given Man City's superior squad depth and better form, Away Win bet boasts big value, alongside Over 2.5 goals (60% H2H) and Haaland to Score.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Tottenham vs Man City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tottenham 1 - 3 Man City
Tottenham vs Man City Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 250 Odds
- To be Booked: Malachi Hardy @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Tottenham vs Man City?
You can place your bets on Tottenham vs Man City at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferTottenham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwd | 0.90 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.74 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.32 |
Man City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | wdwll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.81 | 1.13 |
Tottenham vs Man City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tottenham (42%)
43 Matches
Man City (49%)
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Newcastle
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Liverpool
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Burnley
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Borussia Dortmund
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