Tottenham take on Sunderland on Matchday 20 with mixed form, but there are signs of encouragement at home. As the Black Cats continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 1-0 home win. Xavi Simons is still suspended for Spurs, while Sarr and Bissouma are away on international duty, though neither is considered a guaranteed starter in the current setup. Spurs’ overall numbers remain modest, yet at home they look far more balanced, conceding just 1.00 goal per game and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their attacking output at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium stands at 1.75 goals per match, backed by a healthy 1.77 home xG, suggesting they create enough to trouble most visitors despite inconsistency elsewhere.
Sunderland travel to London significantly weakened, with Diarra, Mandava, Masuaku, Sadiki, Talbi and Traore all absent due to the 2025 AFCON. Away from home, the Black Cats have really struggled, collecting just 0.50 points per game, failing to win any away match so far, and scoring a worrying 0.25 goals per game on their travels. They have failed to score in 75% of away fixtures, while their defensive metrics are concerning, with an xGA of 2.16 away from home, indicating they allow a high volume of quality chances.
Given Sunderland's winless run on the road and aforementioned absences, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as the Black Cats have been struggling offensively on the road of late.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Tottenham vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tottenham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Tottenham vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Richarlison @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Cristian Romero @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferTottenham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwd | 1.10 |
| Home | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | ldlwd | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.75 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.05 | 1.72 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddd | 1.20 |
| Home | dwwdd | 1.67 |
| Away | ldld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.33 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.16 |
Tottenham vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tottenham (60%)
20 Matches
Sunderland (15%)
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