Alaves head into their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid on the back of a three-game winless run, although they managed to hold Athletic Bilbao to a goalless draw in the Basque derby before the international break. The hosts were largely second best in that encounter, registering just 0.05 xG while allowing Bilbao 24 goal attempts. Abderrahman Rebbach has overcome his minor injury and should be available, while Alaves can take confidence from their excellent home record, winning three of their last four matches at Mendizorrotza.
Los Rojiblancos, on the other hand, are enjoying a three-game winning streak after beating Real Madrid in the local derby before the international break. Jonathan David should continue to lead the line after finally finding his goalscoring touch, while Pablo Barrios and Alexander Sorloth remain in the recovery room. Atletico have also been productive in front of goal lately, scoring 2.00 goals per game across their last 10 matches, although their away defence has been less convincing, conceding 1.67 per game.
The gap in quality between the two sides is obvious and given Atletico's excellent H2H record, Away Win should be considered Additionally, David to Score and Over 1.5 goals (61% H2H) markets seem interesting.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Miguel Rodriguez @ 140 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -125 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - Yes @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwdwwlld | 1.60 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | wdddld | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.51 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.26 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdwllwww | 1.90 |
| Home | wdww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.25 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 2.19 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 0.89 | 1.59 |
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (11%)
18 Matches
Atletico Madrid (61%)
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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