Alaves head into the first game of the new year looking to respond after their 3–0 defeat to Osasuna. Given Oviedo's poor away record, we predict a 1-0 home win. Alaves' overall numbers at Mendizorrotza remain impressive: 1.80 PPG, 60% home wins, and only 0.80 goals conceded per home match. Their defensive record includes 40% clean sheets, supported by a solid 1.27 xGA figure. In attack, the Basques score 1.00 goal per home game, but their away numbers (2.20 goals scored) show they can threaten consistently. Defender Victor Parada misses this match due to suspension.
Los Azules, on the other hand, continue to struggle, particularly away from home, where they average just 0.20 PPG and have suffered four straight losses. They concede 2.80 goals per away match and have kept 0% clean sheets on their travels. Their attack is also blunt, failing to score in 60% of away fixtures and producing only 1.00 goal per match with an xG of 1.06. Defender David Carma is unavailable due to international duty.
Given Alaves' far stronger home metrics and Oviedo’s poor away form, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Alaves to Score First.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Alaves vs Oviedo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 0 Oviedo
Alaves vs Oviedo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lucas Boye @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: David Carmo @ 120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.27 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.28 | 1.48 |
Oviedo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldld | 0.50 |
| Home | ldddd | 0.80 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.47 | 1.97 |
Alaves vs Oviedo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (43%)
7 Matches
Oviedo (29%)
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