As both Deportivo Alaves and Real Sociedad are likely to adopt a defence-minded approach in Saturday’s Basque derby, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. Alaves do not seem to be at their sharpest, with the team losing each of their last three Primera Division game. As El Glorioso have been conceding only 1 goal per game in their last 10 home fixtures, a low-scoring affair is on the cards. Midfielder Antonio Blanco is banned, but his absence should not have influence on Alaves’ defensive performance.
La Real, on the other hand, experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 3-2 loss to Villarreal at the weekend. However, the visitors are expected to adopt a cautious approach this time out. The fact that Real Sociedad have been conceding exactly 1 goal per game on the road definitely supports our betting prediction. Even though there are no fresh injury worries in the away team, Ander Barrenetxea is expected to sneak into the starting XI after scoring as a substitute against the Yellow Submarine.
As both Deportivo Alaves and Real Sociedad will try not to lose the local derby, both Under 2.5 goals (71% H2H) and Half-Time Draw bets should be considered, with additional value on Draw.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 6 December 2025 at 15:15.
What is our Alaves vs Real Sociedad prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 1 Real Sociedad
Alaves vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Gorka Carrera @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Luken Beitia @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlll | 1.10 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | llwll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 0.99 | 1.33 |
Real Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Away | ldwdw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.39 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.50 |
Alaves vs Real Sociedad Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (29%)
17 Matches
Real Sociedad (47%)
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