Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips | 15/09/2026

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips | 15 September 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 September 2026 • 07:20 UTC • 1 min read

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips 15 September 2026

Estadio Mendizorroza has been a fortress for Alaves early in the campaign, and they will be keen to maintain that record after a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Racing Santander. Los Babazorros have won each of their first three home games, while their last 10 overall have produced a 50% win rate and just 0.80 goals conceded per match. Aitor Manas is doubtful after picking up a knock at the weekend, but should not be sorely missed.

Valencia head into this clash desperately short of confidence following a 1-0 defeat to Sevilla, a game in which they managed only three goal attempts. Los Che have won just 20% of their last 10 matches and average only 0.90 goals per game, while their 1.04 xG highlights their attacking struggles. Their injury list is also lengthy, with Copete, Diakhaby, Foulquier, Rioja and Sadiq expected to miss out.

Considering Alaves' perfect home record and Valencia's recent struggles, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga encounter. Additionally, Alaves or Draw and Under 3.5 goals markets seem tempting (Valencia’s attacking problems point towards a relatively controlled game).

This Primera Division match will be played on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:00.

What is our Alaves vs Valencia prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 0 Valencia

Alaves vs Valencia Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Boye @ 120 Odds
First Goalscorer: Lucas Boye @ 375 Odds
To be Booked: Mouctar Diakhaby @ 162 Odds
Asian Handicap: Valencia +1.5 @ -250 Odds
European Handicap: Valencia +2 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
Draw No Bet: CD Alaves to Win @ -450 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: CD Alaves to Win/CD Alaves to Win @ 160 Odds
Clean Sheet: CD Alaves - Yes @ 110 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Alaves vs Valencia?

You can place your bets on Alaves vs Valencia at the following bookmakers:

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Alaves Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwwddwdwwl	1.90
Home	dwww	2.50
Away	wwdddl	1.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	75%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	3.25	2.17
Scored	1.80	2.50	1.33
Conceded	0.80	0.75	0.83
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
Clean Sheets	40%	50%	33%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.47	1.56	1.40
Expected Goals Against	1.21	1.24	1.19

Valencia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlwdldllll	0.80
Home	wlldll	0.67
Away	wdll	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.50	2.50
Scored	0.90	0.83	1.00
Conceded	1.60	1.67	1.50
BTTS	50%	33%	75%
Clean Sheets	20%	33%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	50%	25%
Expected Goals	1.04	1.14	0.84
Expected Goals Against	1.39	1.35	1.47