Saturday’s clash at San Mames sees Athletic Bilbao host Atletico Madrid, and our prediction points to a balanced 1-1 draw. The Lions desperately needed a win against Levante and they managed to get one. Ernesto Valverde’s troops rarely concede at home this season (0.85 GPG) and we predict that they will rely on their solid defence in Saturday’s encounter. The fact that influential attacker Inaki Williams misses out through suspension definitely supports our betting angle.
Los Rojiblancos, on the other hand, have been in a fine form of late, averaging 2.00 points in the last 3 away games. With Diego Simeone’s troops scoring only 1.00 goals per game on the road, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Under 2.5 goals. Both Le Normand and Llorente remain in the recovery room, but their absence should not affect Atletico’s overall display.
As 77% of the last 9 encounters between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid have featured 2 or fewer goals, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for Saturday’s derby, including Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 6 December 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -125 Odds
- To be booked: Aymeric Laporte @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | llldw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.82 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwwww | 2.71 |
| Away | lww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 86% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.71 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.14 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.14 | 1.74 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (30%)
40 Matches
Atletico Madrid (60%)
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