Athletic Bilbao aim to build on a 2-0 win over Levante, but given their recent negative record against Real Madrid at “San Mames”, our prediction points toward a 2-0 away win. The Lions quickly bounced back from a heavy 4-0 loss to Barcelona, with the team beating Levante on the road at the weekend. The Basques aim to move closer to the Champions League berth, but with the team winning only 14% of their last 37 encounters with Real Madrid, home win should not be considered. Inaki Williams’ injury definitely goes in favour of our betting tip.
Los Blancos, on the other hand, aim to regain top position in the standings. As Real Madrid were more than unfortunate not to score the winner against Girona (1-1), we predict that they will return to winning ways with a triumph over Athletic Club. It’s worth noting that Xabi Alonso’s side generate 2.06 expected goals per away match. Defensive trio David Alaba – Dani Carvajal – Dean Huijsen remains in the recovery room, but Antonio Rudiger’s return from injury should help Real Madrid improve defensively.
With Real Madrid winning 83% of the last 6 meetings with Athletic Bilbao at Estadio San Mames, Away Win boast big value. Additionally, Kylian Mbappe to Score and Under 3.5 goals (73% H2H) are worth considering.
This Primera Division match will be played on Wednesday 3 December 2025 at 18:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 140 Odds
- To be booked: Aymeric Laporte @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid?
You can place your bets on Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | llldw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.82 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lddwd | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.35 | 2.77 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.49 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (14%)
37 Matches
Real Madrid (70%)
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Burnley
Wolves
West Ham
Monaco
Lyon
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Atalanta
AS Roma
