Atletico Madrid and Mallorca square off against each other in a La Liga encouver with contrasting recent forms. Given Mallorca's defensive struggles on the road, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. Atletico are unbeaten in four of their last five, including a narrow 1-0 win over Alaves, and remain largely injury-free. At home, they average 1.33 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.0, keeping clean sheets in 33% of matches. Their expected goals (xG) at home is 2.06, showing a capable attack despite a tight defense. Diego Simeone has a full squad to choose from, except for Nico Gonzalez and Clement Lenglet.
Mallorca, boosted by Pablo Maffeo returning from suspension, are coming off a thrilling 3-2 victory over Athletic Bilbao, with Vedat Muriqi netting a hat-trick. The visitors have a higher scoring average on the road of 2.33 goals per away match, but they concede 1.33, and clean sheets are rare (17% away). BTTS has featured in 67% of their away games, indicating an open style. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team ahead of the trip to the Spanish capital.
H2H trends slightly favor Atletico with 48% wins versus 29% for Mallorca, and 43% of their past meetings saw both teams score. Given Atleti's home form and H2H edge, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Atletico to Win to Nil as Atletico’s defence tends to limit high-scoring encounters.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Mallorca
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -150 Odds
- To be Booked: Omar Mascarell @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlww | 1.90 |
| Home | wlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwdw | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.05 | 1.57 |
Mallorca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllw | 1.20 |
| Home | dwlw | 1.75 |
| Away | wdldl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.45 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.59 |
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (48%)
21 Matches
Mallorca (29%)
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