Sparkles will be flying when Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid face each other in the Derbi Madrileno, with Atletico aiming to build on back-to-back 3-0 and 4-0 wins over Real Sociedad and Osasuna. Diego Simeone’s men are likely to stick to their attacking style of play, with summer signing Jonathan David already adapting well and looking a handful for the opposition back-line. Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth are both sidelined with injuries.
Los Blancos, on the other hand, aim to build on back-to-back victories over Rayo Vallecano and Elche and are expected to maintain their attacking approach. Jude Bellingham is widely expected to return to the starting XI, while Rodrygo, Mendy, and Eder Militao remain injured. Kylian Mbappe will be the man to watch, having already netted seven goals this season. Real Madrid have won 90% of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.50 goals per game.
As Real Madrid have won 90% of their last 10 matches and 83% of their recent away fixtures, our main prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Real Madrid or Draw and Over 1.5 goals (79% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Bernardo Silva @ 100 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid 0 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -350 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwdwllww | 1.60 |
| Home | wdw | 2.33 |
| Away | llwwllw | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.33 | 3.29 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.67 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.67 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 0.86 | 1.57 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwlwww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwwlw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.70 | 1.19 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (25%)
57 Matches
Real Madrid (44%)
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Past Results
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