What is our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction?
Atletico Madrid
1 - 2
Real Madrid
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview
Sparkles will be flying when Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid face each other in the Derbi Madrileno, with Atletico aiming to build on back-to-back 3-0 and 4-0 wins over Real Sociedad and Osasuna. Diego Simeone’s men are likely to stick to their attacking style of play, with summer signing Jonathan David already adapting well and looking a handful for the opposition back-line. Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth are both sidelined with injuries.
Los Blancos, on the other hand, aim to build on back-to-back victories over Rayo Vallecano and Elche and are expected to maintain their attacking approach. Jude Bellingham is widely expected to return to the starting XI, while Rodrygo, Mendy, and Eder Militao remain injured. Kylian Mbappe will be the man to watch, having already netted seven goals this season. Real Madrid have won 90% of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.50 goals per game.
As Real Madrid have won 90% of their last 10 matches and 83% of their recent away fixtures, our main prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Real Madrid or Draw and Over 1.5 goals (79% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 15:15.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 20 Sep 2026, 15:15UK time
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Madrid | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid / Real Madrid | 21/10 | |
| Asian Handicap: Real Madrid 0 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 | 1/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 4/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 10/3 | |
| To be Booked: Bernardo Silva | 1/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Real Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 2/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwdwllww | 1.60 |
| Home | wdw | 2.33 |
| Away | llwwllw | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.33 | 3.29 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.67 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.67 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 2.24 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 0.86 | 1.57 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwlwww | 2.70 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwwlw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.70 | 1.19 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (25%)
57 Matches
Real Madrid (44%)
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Past Results
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