Buoyed by a 3-2 Champions League win over PSV, we predict that Atletico Madrid will give fans yet another reason to celebrate by beating Valencia 3-1 in the La Liga round 16. Los Rojiblancos suffered back-to-back losses to Barcelona and Athletic Club on the road, but they have won 87% of their home games this season, averaging 2.5 goals per game. The fact that Diego Simeone can count on key players for Saturday’s clash definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction.
Los Che, on the other hand, are a team with two faces, with the team producing fine displays at home, while struggling on the travels. Valencia have yet to record a win on the road this season, with the team scoring only 0.57 goals per game. Therefore, they are unlikely to upset Atletico Madrid at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano. Defender Mouctar Diakhaby should be the only absentee in the away team.
As Atletico Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 encounters with Valencia in the Spanish capital, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Alexander Sorloth to Score.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 13:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Valencia
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ -150 Odds
- To be booked: Jose Manuel Copete @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.98 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.18 | 1.61 |
Valencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwd | 1.30 |
| Home | ldwd | 1.25 |
| Away | dwldw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.75 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 0.95 | 1.44 |
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (53%)
40 Matches
Valencia (15%)
Atalanta
Inter
