What is our Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Getafe 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Preview
There will be fireworks when Getafe and Rayo Vallecano renew their rivalry in this Madrid derby, although the hosts will be keen to keep things tight after their disappointing 3-0 defeat to Barcelona. Los Azulones have been difficult to beat on home soil and remain unbeaten there this season, relying on their compact defensive structure to frustrate opponents. Zaid Romero picked up a knock at the weekend, so Abdel Abqar could be called upon to step in as Getafe look to get back on track.
Rayo Vallecano travel across the capital after a 1-1 draw with Osasuna, a game in which they registered an impressive 19 attempts on goal. Los Vallecanos tend to play with attacking intent, but their away defending has been a major weakness, leaving them vulnerable against organised opposition. There are no fresh injury concerns for Benat San Jose’s team, giving the visitors a full squad to choose from as they seek a positive result.
As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach in the local derby, our main prediction leans toward Under 2.5 goals (92% H2H), alongside Over 4.5 yellow cards and Getafe to win (fine home record).
This Primera Division match will be played on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Mon 19 Oct 2026, 20:00UK time
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Getafe 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | 6/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 1/2 | |
| Draw No Bet: Getafe | 1/1 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Getafe / Getafe | 4/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Getafe +0.5 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Getafe +1 | 2/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Jorge De Frutos | 11/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Pathe Ciss | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 11/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/25 | |
| Getafe Clean Sheet: Yes | 13/8 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferGetafe Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllddlwld | 1.20 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.13 | 1.76 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlldlwlwd | 1.10 |
| Home | dww | 2.33 |
| Away | lwlllld | 0.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.33 | 2.71 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.55 | 1.86 |
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Getafe (19%)
26 Matches
Rayo Vallecano (54%)





