Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips | 17/09/2026

Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction and Betting Tips | 17 September 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 September 2026 • 08:27 UTC • 1 min read

Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction and Betting Tips 17 September 2026

Estadio La Rosaleda will be the centre of attention when Malaga look to end their five-game winless run and finally record their first victory of the season. Los Boquerones settled for a 1-1 draw with Celta Vigo last time out despite registering only 0.42 xG. Adrian Nino is pushing for a start after coming off the bench to score the equalizer, while Malaga have no fresh injury worries. Their home form offers some hope, with 2.00 goals scored per game.

Villarreal, meanwhile, have also struggled to find their best form, particularly at the back. The Yellow Submarine have lost their last three matches and have conceded 1.80 goals per game across their last 10. Their away fixtures average 3.38 goals, while 75% have seen both teams score. Juan Foyth should be their only absentee for this trip, while forward Nicolas Pepe is pushing for a recall to the starting XI.

Villarreal’s away games average 3.38 goals and with Malaga being capable of finding the net at home, our main prediction leans toward Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 1.5 (83% H2H) and Draw (small stake).

This Primera Division match will be played on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:30.

What is our Malaga vs Villarreal prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Malaga 1 - 1 Villarreal

Malaga vs Villarreal Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 600 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ 137 Odds
First Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ 500 Odds
To be Booked: Jose Salinas @ 175 Odds
Asian Handicap: Malaga +0.5 @ -138 Odds
European Handicap: Malaga +1 @ -150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -150 Odds
Draw No Bet: Villarreal to Win @ -225 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
Clean Sheet: Villarreal - No @ -350 Odds

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Malaga Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddwldldldd	0.90
Home	ddwddd	1.33
Away	llld	0.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	17%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.67	2.75
Scored	1.40	2.00	0.50
Conceded	1.90	1.67	2.25
BTTS	70%	83%	50%
Clean Sheets	10%	17%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	17%	50%
Expected Goals	1.29	1.53	0.93
Expected Goals Against	1.31	1.03	1.74

Villarreal Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlwwddllll	1.10
Home	wll	1.00
Away	wlwddll	1.14

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	29%
Average Goals Per Game	3.40	3.00	3.57
Scored	1.60	1.33	1.71
Conceded	1.80	1.67	1.86
BTTS	80%	67%	86%
Clean Sheets	10%	33%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	14%
Expected Goals	1.71	1.83	1.66
Expected Goals Against	1.46	1.61	1.39