Osasuna and Alaves meet in Pamplona with both sides showing competitive recent form, which points toward a tight La Liga encounter. Therefore, we predict that one goal (1-0) is going to separate the two sides in Saturday's mini derby. Los Rojillos have taken 1.10 points per game overall, with matches averaging a high 3.20 total goals. However, their home performances have been less convincing, conceding 2.00 goals per game at El Sadar and keeping a clean sheet in just 33% of those fixtures. Their expected goals numbers (xG 1.55, xGA 1.49) suggest fine margins rather than dominant displays. There are no fresh injury worries for the hosts, allowing Alessio Lisci to field his strongest XI.
Alaves travel to Pamplona with similar overall numbers (1.30 points per game) but a slightly more balanced profile. They concede just 0.90 goals per match and boast a 40% clean-sheet rate, while BTTS has landed in only 30% of their games. Away from home, their matches open up more, averaging 3.20 goals, supported by an away expected goals of 1.54. Edoardo Coudet has a full squad available, with no absentees reported.
With 58% of their H2H meetings featuring 2 or fewer goals, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals. As Alaves suit Osasuna, Home Win should also be considered, with additional value on BTTS - No.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 17:30.
What is our Osasuna vs Alaves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Osasuna 1 - 0 Alaves
Osasuna vs Alaves Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ante Budimir @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Pablo Ibanez @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferOsasuna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | llw | 1.00 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.61 | 1.44 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwl | 1.30 |
| Home | dwlwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.17 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.15 | 1.46 |
Osasuna vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Osasuna (47%)
19 Matches
Alaves (37%)
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