Primera Division (La Liga) Predictions

Sevilla

Sevilla

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

20 March 2022

17:30

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Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

All eyes will be on Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan when Sevilla and Real Sociedad take on each other at “Pizjuan” on Matchday 29. Los Sevillanos are ten points behind league leaders Real Madird, but the team’s main goal is to secure yet another top-four finish. Anyhow, home win should not be considered as Sevilla’s injury list is pretty long, including Acuna, Diego Ca... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 March 2022 at 17:30

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

20 March 2022

15:15

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Betis

Betis

Celta Vigo and Real Betis, the two top-table sides, face each other at Estadio de Balaidos in the La Liga round 20. Os Celeste continue with their habit of producing much better showings at home than on the travels, with the team winning four of their last home five fixtures. Defender Hugo Mallo is back from suspension, meaning that Eduardo Coudet should have a full squad to... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 March 2022 at 15:15

Cadiz

Cadiz

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

20 March 2022

15:15

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Villarreal

Villarreal

Sunday’s football game at Estadio Nueva Mirandilla pits together Cadiz and Villarreal, the two Yellow Submarines. Cadiz aim to make amends for a 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid, and a triumph over Villarreal will see them escape the relegation zone. Midfielder Ivan Alejo is back from suspension, meaning that Sergio Gonzalez should have a full squad to choose from.

Unai... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 March 2022 at 15:15

Espanyol

Espanyol

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

20 March 2022

13:00

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Mallorca

Mallorca

Following a 1-1 draw with Levante, Espanyol will look to record their only second win of the year when they take on Mallorca in Barcelona. Los Periquitos are safe for now, but they can’t afford any complacency in the remainder of the season. Espanyol did well to beat Getafe 2-0 in their last home fixture, which is giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of the visit of Mal... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 March 2022 at 13:00

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

19 March 2022

20:00

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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid take on each other at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in a small Madrid derby. Los Vallecanos were performing above expectations in the first half of the season, but they do not seem to be at their sharpest at the moment. Rayo are only eight points clear of the relegation zone, but keep in mind that they have on game in hand. Both Garcia and Pa... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 March 2022 at 20:00

Osasuna

Osasuna

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

19 March 2022

17:30

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Levante

Levante

Osasuna and Levante go head to head at Estadio El Sadar on day 29 of the 2021/2022 La Liga campaign. Osasuna do not seem to be at the top of their game, with the team losing three of their last four league fixtures, but they will not have a better chance than this to return to winning ways. Argentina forward Chimy Avila is back from suspension, while Jesus Areso remains on t... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 March 2022 at 17:30

Elche

Elche

Prediction:
0-0

Match Time & Date:

19 March 2022

15:15

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Valencia

Valencia

Following a boring goalless draw with Getafe, Valencia will look to keep their Europa League hopes alive when they face Elche on Saturday. Los Che have been impressive at the back of late, and we predict that they will rely on their rock-solid defence against Elche. Yunus Musah is back from suspension, while all Antonio Latorre, Jose Gaya, Thierry Correia, and Jasper Cilless... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 March 2022 at 15:15

Alaves

Alaves

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

19 March 2022

13:00

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Granada

Granada

Alaves and Granada face each other at Estadio Mendizorrotza in what is expected to be an interesting relegation six-pointer. Alaves were beaten by Real Sociedad in the Basque derby, with the team remaining in bottom three. The Basques are eager to put an end to their four-match winless, and they are likely to leave their hearts on the field. There are no fresh injury worries... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 March 2022 at 13:00

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

18 March 2022

20:00

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Getafe

Getafe

Athletic Club will look to make amends for a 1-0 loss to Real Betis when they host Getafe to their Estadio San Mames on Friday evening. The Lions continue with their old habit of producing much better showings at home than on the travels, with the team eyeing their fourth consecutive win in front of home fans. All Inigo Martinez, Ander Capa, Dani Garcia, and Julen Agirrezaba... Read More...

This match will be played on 18 March 2022 at 20:00

Mallorca

Mallorca

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

14 March 2022

20:00

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Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Monday’s game between Mallorca and Real Madrid will bring down the curtain on day 28 of the current La Liga campaign. Los Bermellones experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 4-3 loss to Celta Vigo, with the team extending their losing run to four games. Since Mallorca are low on confidence ahead of the visit of Real Madrid, home win should not be considered. Sal... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 March 2022 at 20:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
17 October 2025 • 07:15 UTC • 1 min read
Primera Division (La Liga) Predictions

Weekly La Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly La Liga tips across the most important football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result. Our football betting tips are based on form analysis, head-to-head history, and statistical trends within Spain’s top division, ensuring coverage of fixtures ranging from El Clásico to relegation battles.

Primera Division Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
ElcheElcheAthletic BilbaoAthletic Bilbao19/10/2025, 13:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
Celta VigoCelta VigoReal SociedadReal Sociedad19/10/2025, 15:15
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
LevanteLevanteRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano19/10/2025, 17:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
GetafeGetafeReal MadridReal Madrid19/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AlavesAlavesValenciaValencia20/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Real SociedadReal SociedadSevillaSevilla24/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GironaGironaOviedoOviedo25/10/2025, 13:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EspanyolEspanyolElcheElche25/10/2025, 15:15
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Athletic BilbaoAthletic BilbaoGetafeGetafe25/10/2025, 17:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
ValenciaValenciaVillarrealVillarreal25/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
MallorcaMallorcaLevanteLevante26/10/2025, 13:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Real MadridReal MadridBarcelonaBarcelona26/10/2025, 15:15
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
OsasunaOsasunaCelta VigoCelta Vigo26/10/2025, 17:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Rayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoAlavesAlaves26/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BetisBetisAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid27/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw

La Liga Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season

Outright betting in La Liga focuses on season-long outcomes rather than individual fixtures. Instead of predicting who will win a match, punters forecast outcomes such as Winner, Top Four Finish, Relegation, and Top Goalscorer. These long-term wagers, sometimes called ante-post bets, open before the campaign begins and remain available throughout, with prices adjusting as results shape the table.

Unlike regular bets settled over ninety minutes, outright wagers tie up stakes for months, which makes analysis of squad depth, fixture congestion, and consistency across 38 rounds essential. The main La Liga outright markets include To Win the League, Top 4 Finish, and Top Goalscorer.

La Liga Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season

Our expert football betting predictions for the 2025/26 La Liga season follow below.

Who will win La Liga this season?

Barcelona are the bookmakers’ favourites to win the 2025/26 La Liga title, priced at 10/11 (52%). Their strong domestic core, the attacking rise of Lamine Yamal, and continuity under Hansi Flick make them a natural frontrunner. Yet in our analysis, Real Madrid at 11/10 (47.6%) stand the stronger chance of finishing top. With a rebuilt defence, high-profile signings, and the tactical clarity of new coach Xabi Alonso, Madrid look the most complete side. Atlético Madrid at 50/1 (2%) are another contender, though their chances are far slimmer, with Diego Simeone’s trademark defensive structure giving them an outside shot at disrupting the title race.

More detail on the 3 clubs most likely to win La Liga (Primera Division) in 2025/26 is given below.

  1. Real Madrid (11/10, 47.6%). Real Madrid are our top choice to win the La Liga title in 2025/26. The summer transfer window brought major reinforcements. Dean Huijsen adds youth and composure in defence, Alvaro Carreras offers depth on the left, Franco Mastantuono brings creative spark from midfield, and Trent Alexander-Arnold increases playmaking from right-back. Beyond these additions, the club has managed to keep hold of Rodrygo despite interest from abroad, preserving attacking balance alongside Vinícius Júnior and Kylian Mbappé. With Xabi Alonso appointed as head coach, Madrid now have tactical leadership that blends possession structure with transitional threat. Backed by fan confidence and institutional stability, Madrid enter this season with both squad depth and strategic clarity, which makes them our strongest pick to win La Liga.
  2. Barcelona (10/11, 52%). As the defending champions, Barcelona remain the bookmakers’ favourites for La Liga, driven by their combination of domestic momentum and emerging star power. Yamal continues to grow into a generational attacking talent, Robert Lewandowski still provides elite finishing, and Frenkie de Jong anchors a midfield that retains stability. Flick’s side ended last season strongly and the bookmakers weigh that form heavily, which explains their narrow lead in odds. Yet questions around defensive depth, particularly against elite opposition, temper their projection compared with Real Madrid in our analysis. They remain a top contender to win La Liga, but their margin for error looks thinner than that of Real Madrid.
  3. Atletico Madrid (50/1, 2%). Atletico Madrid enter the 2025/26 season as the third most likely challenger for the La Liga crown. Simeone’s side remain defensively disciplined and competitive in direct clashes with both Madrid and Barcelona, but inconsistency across a full campaign has limited their recent title challenges. The squad has seen targeted additions in midfield and attack, yet the reliance on Julián Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann for goals underscores their narrower path to competing with the big two. Their title odds reflect this gap, but their ability to disrupt and potentially push late in the season keeps them in the wider conversation for the La Liga trophy.

A fourth possible contender for the La Liga title is Athletic Club at 100/1 (1%). Their chances are far slimmer compared with the top three, but the Basque side still bring unique strengths. Ernesto Valverde has built a disciplined unit that thrives on chemistry, with San Mamés remaining one of the most difficult venues for opponents. The decision of Nico Williams to extend his contract keeps their most influential attacker at the club, while a core of Basque-born players ensures consistency and cohesion. Although their odds underline the long-shot nature of their title push, Athletic Club carry enough strength and spirit to be mentioned among the possible challengers for La Liga.

Who is most likely to finish Top 4 in La Liga this season?

The four teams most likely to finish among the Top 4 in the 2025/26 La Liga season are Barcelona (1/41, 97.6%), Real Madrid (1/41, 97.6%), Atlético Madrid (4/7, 63.6%), and Athletic Club (5/6, 54.5%). These odds reflect the blend of elite squads, star players, and tactical stability that define Spain’s biggest clubs, along with the consistency needed to secure a Champions League place.

More information about the 4 teams most likely to make it to the Top 4 in La Liga this season is given below.

  • Barcelona (1/41, 97.6%). Barcelona are the bookmakers’ favourites alongside Real Madrid to finish inside La Liga’s Top 4 and are once again expected to challenge for the title. The rise of 17-year-old Lamine Yamal has transformed the Catalan attack, while the arrival of Marcus Rashford adds further pace and goal threat on the left. Under Hansi Flick, Barcelona ended last season strongly, winning 16 of their last 18 games in La Liga, and the squad’s core remains intact with Robert Lewandowski and Frenkie de Jong providing leadership. The combination of attacking talent, tactical clarity, and domestic consistency makes Barcelona the safest candidate to secure a Top 4 place this season.
  • Real Madrid (1/41, 97.6%). Real Madrid are priced level with Barcelona and remain a lock for a Top 4 finish in La Liga. The summer signings of Dean Huijsen, Álvaro Carreras, Franco Mastantuono, and Trent Alexander-Arnold reinforce a defence that already included Éder Militão and Antonio Rüdiger. Club chiefs managed to keep hold of Rodrygo despite interest from abroad, preserving balance in attack alongside Vinícius Júnior and Kylian Mbappé. New manager Xabi Alonso is already winning over supporters with a clear tactical identity built around control and vertical attacking transitions. Madrid’s squad depth and individual quality make them one of the strongest and most reliable bets for a La Liga Top 4 finish.
  • Atlético Madrid (4/7, 63.6%). Atlético Madrid are another strong candidate to finish in the Top 4, even if their odds trail behind Barcelona and Madrid. Diego Simeone remains at the helm, providing the tactical consistency that has defined Atlético since 2011. Atlético Madrid’s defence has been reinforced with new arrivals such as David Hancko and Matteo Ruggeri, while attacking additions Giacomo Raspadori and Thiago Almada add creativity and energy in the final third. The atmosphere at the Wanda Metropolitano continues to be one of Europe’s most intimidating, giving Atlético a clear home advantage. Simeone’s mix of pragmatism and opportunistic attacking play makes Atlético one of the safer options to maintain a place in the top end of La Liga.
  • Athletic Club (5/6, 54.5%). Athletic Club complete the quartet of leading candidates to secure a Top 4 finish in La Liga. The Basque side extended star winger Nico Williams’ contract in the summer, ensuring their most dynamic player remains central to their attacking output. San Mamés continues to be one of the most atmospheric and difficult venues for visiting teams, while Ernesto Valverde has earned the trust of both his players and the fans with a clear, disciplined style. With a squad built almost entirely on Basque-born footballers, the chemistry and cohesion within Athletic Club is unmatched in La Liga, giving them a realistic platform to secure a place among the Top 4 this season.

Other likely candidates to reach the La Liga Top 4 include Villarreal at 11/8 (42.1%) and Real Betis at 9/2 (18.2%). Villarreal’s attacking depth, led by Gerard Moreno and reinforced by summer signings, makes them a dangerous side capable of pushing into the Champions League places if they maintain consistency. Real Betis remain a step behind on odds yet still enter the Top 4 conversation thanks to Manuel Pellegrini’s experience and the presence of creative stars like Nabil Fekir and Isco, whose influence ensures Betis carry the quality to challenge La Liga’s established Top 4.

Who is most likely to relegate in La Liga this season?

Girona (11/8, 42.1%) and Oviedo (11/8, 42.1%) are joint favourites to be relegated from La Liga this season, according to most major bookmakers. Girona enter the campaign weakened by the departure of several key players, leaving gaps in leadership and defensive stability, while Oviedo return to the top flight with one of the weakest attacking records among promoted sides and limited La Liga experience. Elche (2/1, 33.3%) emerge as another strong relegation candidate after a summer of exits that has left the squad short of depth and proven quality.

More detail on the 3 most likely relegation candidates in La Liga follows below.

  • Girona (11/8, 42.1%). Girona face relegation from La Liga after a turbulent summer that saw several important squad members depart. Eric García returned to Barcelona after his loan ended, removing a defensive mainstay from the back line, while Arnaut Danjuma’s spell also concluded on June 30, 2025. Girona have built a reputation for attacking verve but remain inconsistent defensively, which often leaves them exposed against top-half clubs. While Michel has impressed as head coach, the squad’s lack of depth compared to rivals makes them one of the most vulnerable sides to relegation from La Liga this season.
  • Oviedo (11/8, 42.1%). Oviedo return to La Liga after years outside the top flight but arrive with one of the weakest attacking records among promoted clubs. Their reliance on set pieces and narrow wins in the Segunda División raises doubts about whether they have the firepower to compete against Spain’s elite. Reinforcements have been limited in both scale and profile, leaving the squad short of proven La Liga experience. With goal-scoring options thin and defensive resilience unlikely to hold up over 38 matches, Oviedo are seen as a leading relegation candidate.
  • Elche (2/1, 33.3%). Elche complete the list of leading relegation candidates in La Liga, with odds reflecting a club that has struggled for stability since bouncing between the top two divisions. The exits of Nicolás Fernández Mercau, Nicolás Castro, Óscar Plano, and José Salinas stripped the squad of key contributors, while recruitment has yet to fill those gaps. Elche’s away form has historically been a major weakness, and their squad lacks the depth of rivals in the bottom half. Without significant January reinforcements, Elche is at risk of falling back into the Segunda.

Another strong candidate for relegation in La Liga is Levante (11/10, 47%), who are actually the bookmakers’ favourites to go down. Levante’s reliance on defensive discipline and a modest budget makes survival difficult, but in our view they are not as clear-cut a relegation pick as the odds suggest. The squad retains cohesion from their promotion run, and continuity could help them grind out results against direct rivals. So, while Levante remain in danger of relegation, we believe Girona, Oviedo, and Elche are more at risk of finishing in La Liga’s bottom three in 2025/26.

Who is most likely to finish as Top Scorer in La Liga this season?

Kylian Mbappé is the clear favourite to finish as La Liga’s top scorer in 2025/26, priced at 1/2 (66.7%) by major bookmakers. His dominant debut campaign at Real Madrid, where he scored 31 goals, makes him the standout candidate once again. Robert Lewandowski at 3/1 (25%) is another strong contender for the Pichichi Trophy after rediscovering his scoring touch last season and continuing to lead Barcelona’s line effectively.

More information about the 2 leading candidates to finish as Top Scorers in La Liga this season is given below.

  • Kylian Mbappé (1/2, 66.7%). Mbappé begins the 2025/26 La Liga campaign as the clear favourite to retain the Pichichi Trophy after scoring 31 goals in his debut season with Real Madrid. His pace, off-the-ball movement, and clinical finishing give Madrid a focal point they had lacked since Karim Benzema’s departure. Playing alongside Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo, he benefits from one of the most dynamic attacking trios in Europe, with his teammates stretching defences and creating space for his direct runs. In addition to his finishing ability, Mbappé remains one of the most consistent high-volume shooters in Europe, regularly producing expected-goal figures that align with his output. With a system under Xabi Alonso designed to maximise transition play and sustained pressure in the final third, Mbappé is firmly positioned as the leading candidate to finish La Liga’s top scorer once again in 2025/26.
  • Robert Lewandowski (3/1, 25%). Lewandowski enters the 2025/26 season after delivering 27 goals in La Liga last year, his best return since arriving at Barcelona in 2022. That tally placed him second only to Mbappé in the Pichichi standings and confirmed his ability to remain decisive across a full campaign. Under Hansi Flick, Barcelona’s attacking structure has been built around wide creativity, with Lamine Yamal and Raphinha providing consistent service from the wings. This tactical setup ensures Lewandowski receives a high volume of quality chances inside the penalty area, where his movement and finishing remain elite. Having already claimed two Pichichi trophies in Spain and continuing to produce numbers that match Europe’s top forwards, Lewandowski stands as the most credible rival to Mbappé in the 2025/26 Golden Boot race.

In La Liga, the top scorer is the player who finishes the season with the most goals across all 38 league matches, and the award for this achievement is known as the Pichichi Trophy, named after Athletic Club legend Rafael “Pichichi” Moreno. Other possible contenders for the Top Scorer distinction in La Liga in 2025/6 include Raphinha at 9/1 (10%), who hit 18 goals last season in Hansi Flick’s fast-paced system, and Atlético Madrid’s Alexander Sørloth at 14/1 (6.7%), who scored 20 league goals in 2023/24 and remains central to Villarreal’s attacking threat.

Who will deliver the most assists in La Liga this season?

The frontrunner to lead La Liga in assists for the 2025/26 campaign is Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal priced at 11/10 (47.6%) by major bookmakers. After establishing himself as one of Europe’s brightest playmakers last season, he enters the new campaign surrounded by elite attacking teammates who thrive on his creativity, making him the strongest contender to deliver the most assists in La Liga this season.

Yamal produced 13 assists in La Liga last season, the highest tally for a teenager in the league’s history, and has rapidly become the focal point of Barcelona’s creative play. His ability to beat defenders in one-on-one situations and deliver accurate cut-backs or crosses has elevated the productivity of forwards such as Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha. Under Hansi Flick’s high-tempo system, which relies heavily on wide progression, Yamal’s vision and decision-making are given maximum freedom. With Barcelona expected to dominate possession in most fixtures, his volume of key passes and final-third touches makes him the most likely player to finish at the top of the assist charts in La Liga this season.

La Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our La Liga tips and betting advice, we monitor five years of historical statistics from Spain’s top flight. We use these long-term records to shape our previews and predictions across the most popular La Liga betting markets each week.

Primera Division Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.53
Away Teams 1.16
Total (Combined) 2.69
33.4 min/Goal (229 Goals in 85 matches)
41% Clean Sheets (35 times out of 85 matches)
60% Both Teams Scored (51 times out of 85 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 48%
Draw 26%
Away Win 26%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 25%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 1%
Under 1.5 18%
Under 2.5 51%
Under 3.5 75%
Under 4.5 89%
La Liga Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.82
Shots / Match (Home) 13.58
Shots / Match (Away) 11.25
Fouls Per Match 24.74
Fouls / Match (Home) 12
Fouls / Match (Away) 12.74
Offsides Per Match 3.78
Players Participated 588

Primera Division Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 FC Barcelona 9 7 1 1 24 10 +14 22 WWWLW
2 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 19 9 +10 21 WWWLW
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 16 10 +6 17 WWWLD
4 Atlético Madrid 9 4 4 1 16 10 +6 16 DWWDW
5 Real Betis 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16 DWWWD
6 RCD Espanyol 9 4 3 2 13 11 +2 15 LDDLW
7 Elche CF 8 3 4 1 11 9 +2 13 DWDWL
8 Sevilla FC 9 4 1 4 16 14 +2 13 WLWWL
9 Athletic Club Bilbao 8 4 1 3 9 9 0 13 LLDLW
10 Deportivo Alavés 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11 WLDLW
11 Getafe CF 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11 WLDDL
12 CA Osasuna 9 3 1 5 7 9 -2 10 LDLWL
13 Levante UD 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8 DWLDW
14 Rayo Vallecano 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8 LDLLW
15 RCD Mallorca 9 2 2 5 10 14 -4 8 DLWLW
16 Valencia CF 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8 LWDLL
17 Celta de Vigo 8 0 6 2 7 10 -3 6 DDDLD
18 Real Oviedo 9 2 0 7 4 16 -12 6 LLWLL
19 Girona FC 9 1 3 5 6 19 -13 6 LDDWL
20 Real Sociedad 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5 LLWLL

Primera Division Results

Date Match
03/10/2025, 19:00 CA Osasuna 2 - 1 Getafe CF
04/10/2025, 12:00 Real Oviedo 0 - 2 Levante UD
04/10/2025, 14:15 Girona FC 2 - 1 Valencia CF
04/10/2025, 16:30 Athletic Club Bilbao 2 - 1 RCD Mallorca
04/10/2025, 19:00 Real Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal
05/10/2025, 12:00 Deportivo Alavés 3 - 1 Elche CF
05/10/2025, 14:15 Sevilla FC 4 - 1 FC Barcelona
05/10/2025, 16:30 RCD Espanyol 1 - 2 Real Betis
05/10/2025, 16:30 Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
05/10/2025, 19:00 Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid

Primera Division Fixtures

Date Match
17/10/2025, 19:00 Real Oviedo 0 - 2 RCD Espanyol
18/10/2025, 12:00 Sevilla FC 1 - 3 RCD Mallorca
18/10/2025, 14:15 FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Girona FC
18/10/2025, 16:30 Villarreal 2 - 2 Real Betis
18/10/2025, 19:00 Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 CA Osasuna
19/10/2025, 12:00 Elche CF - Athletic Club Bilbao
19/10/2025, 14:15 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad
19/10/2025, 16:30 Levante UD - Rayo Vallecano
19/10/2025, 19:00 Getafe CF - Real Madrid
20/10/2025, 19:00 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia CF

What are La Liga Predictions?

La Liga, also known as Primera Division, predictions are expert forecasts of likely outcomes in Spain’s highest division, covering both single-match results and season-long markets. They extend across a wide range of betting options, including outright title winners, Champions League qualifiers, relegation candidates, match outcomes, both teams to score, goal totals, and individual prizes such as the Pichichi Trophy, awarded to the league’s top scorer over 38 rounds. Our football predictions are built on analysis of statistical trends, recent form, and tactical patterns that characterise La Liga football.

Supporters, bettors, and analysts rely on La Liga predictions to interpret developments in one of the most prestigious and competitive leagues in the world. With clubs ranging from global powerhouses like Real Madrid and Barcelona to ambitious sides fighting for European places or survival, accurate forecasting requires close attention to squad depth, managerial strategies, injuries, and fixture congestion. At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts use a mix of advanced data models and years of La Liga insight to provide research-driven tips throughout the campaign.

How are Primera Division Predictions determined?

At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts create accurate La Liga predictions through a systematic process that blends advanced statistical modelling, tactical assessment, and betting market evaluation, adapted to the unique character of Spain’s top division.

The six steps behind our La Liga forecasts are as follows.

  • Setting the fixture context
  • Assessing form and underlying data
  • Weighing squad availability
  • Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries
  • Checking data against match footage
  • Comparing analysis with betting markets
  1. Setting the fixture context. The first step in producing reliable predictions for La Liga is to frame the match in its full context. We log kick-off time, stadium, travel demands, and weather, then evaluate the stakes, whether it’s a relegation battle like Granada vs Mallorca or a title clash such as Barcelona against Real Madrid. With games spread across weekends and midweeks, fixture congestion from Copa del Rey or European commitments adds further strain to the Primera División schedule. Contextualising matches this way keeps our football predictions grounded in reality.
  2. Assessing form and underlying data. Once the setting is clear, we measure momentum through advanced stats. Since La Liga matches are often decided by fine margins, raw results are misleading. That’s why we analyse expected goals (xG), chance quality, and set-piece efficiency. For example, picture a case where Valencia go unbeaten in four games while generating lower xG than their opponents, a clear sign of overperformance. On the other hand, imagine Villarreal suffering narrow defeats despite producing stronger attacking metrics, a situation that indicates an eventual rebound. Separating luck from sustainable performance is central to producing dependable La Liga forecasts.
  3. Weighing squad availability. The next step to shape accurate predictions in Spain’s top division is to link player absences or signings to tactical impact. In La Liga, missing one key player often changes the system. Real Madrid without Vinícius Jr, for instance, lose much of their width and dribbling threat, forcing adjustments in how Mbappé is supplied. Similarly, Athletic Club without Nico Williams see their counter-attacking potency drop significantly. By mapping injuries, suspensions, or key arrivals (like Alexander Sørloth at Atlético Madrid in 2024), we are able to estimate how availability directly alters pressing, transitions, and finishing.
  4. Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries. Analysing venue and derby dynamics is a big step in shaping accurate La Liga predictions. Clubs such as Osasuna or Athletic Bilbao collect the majority of their points at intimidating home grounds like El Sadar or San Mamés, while struggling more often on the road. Rivalries override form as well. El Clásico between Real Madrid and Barcelona or the Seville derby between Betis and Sevilla regularly deliver unpredictable outcomes regardless of table position. This same principle applies in the Champions League, where history and intensity frequently matter as much as form. Recognising these patterns helps ensure our forecasts capture the true rhythm of La Liga.
  5. Checking data against match footage. Once the numbers are in place, we validate them with video analysis of La Liga fixtures. Watching footage clarifies whether defensive leaks come from systemic issues or isolated mistakes, and whether a striker’s scoring streak is based on repeatable movement rather than opportunism. For instance, a spike in goals conceded by Girona often comes from poor set-piece organisation rather than open-play weakness. This analysis ensures La Liga predictions are not only data-driven but also aligned with on-pitch reality.
  6. Comparing analysis with betting markets. The final step required to make informed La Liga predictions is matching insights against bookmaker odds. Prices are converted into implied probabilities and checked against our own projections for markets like 1X2 (win/draw/lose), Both Teams to Score, or Over/Under goals. Markets in La Liga often overreact to short streaks – for example, a mid-table side like Getafe winning three matches in a row is often overpriced compared to their long-term xG profile. Identifying these mismatches allows us to highlight value opportunities and turn analysis into actionable La Liga predictions.

When are La Liga Predictions released?

La Liga predictions for the weekend round are published every Monday at 12:30 PM London Time, while midweek tips are released the day after the last round of fixtures has been completed, again at 12:30 London Time. This regular schedule ensures that previews and betting advice are available well before the next set of matches, giving readers enough time to study the data and markets.

Our objective is to provide accurate and trustworthy La Liga betting predictions, supported by detailed analysis and double-checked information. By combining transparency with rigorous research, we aim to deliver insights that help readers move beyond being just followers of the Spanish league to becoming informed and successful punters.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the La Liga?

The most appealing betting markets for La Liga are Match Result, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over/Under 2.5 Goals. These three options stand out because they consistently reflect the competitive rhythm of Spanish football while offering more reliability than volatile markets such as Correct Score. Outcomes like 1-0 or 1-1 each occur in fewer than one in ten games, while BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals hit close to half of fixtures, making them statistically stronger options for bettors following Spain’s top division.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the La Liga

The 3 most appealing betting markets for La Liga are outlined below.

  • Match Result (Home Win, Draw, Away Win). The Match Result market, or 1X2, remains the foundation of La Liga (Primera Division) betting. Over the past five seasons, home wins have occurred in 42–48% of matches, away wins in 27–30%, and draws in 23–29%. This balance underlines the strength of home advantage, with grounds like the Santiago Bernabéu, Camp Nou, and San Mamés proving especially tough for visiting teams. Clubs outside the top three tend to thrive at home as well. Osasuna at El Sadar and Real Sociedad at Anoeta are well known for strong records in front of passionate local support. These factors explain why Match Result continues to be the central market for La Liga betting.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS). BTTS is another attractive market in La Liga, cashing in when both sides score during a game. In the last five seasons, BTTS has landed in 49–54% of fixtures, including 54% in the most recent campaign. This reflects the league’s balance between technically gifted attacking players and defensive setups that sometimes falter against high pressing. Matches involving mid-table sides such as Villarreal, Real Betis, and Girona frequently deliver goals on both ends thanks to their attacking strength but less reliable back lines. For this reason, BTTS remains a dependable and popular betting choice when it comes to Spain’s top division.
  • Over 2.5 Goals. The Over/Under goals market, particularly Over 2.5, is another key performer in La Liga. The past five years show Over 2.5 Goals hitting in 44–49% of games, with goal averages rising above 2.6 in the last two seasons. La Liga has moved away from its old reputation as a low-scoring competition, with teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona often contributing to high-scoring matches, while sides such as Villarreal or Athletic Club add unpredictability, creating open contests where goals flow at both ends. As a result, betting Over 2.5 Goals remains one of the most attractive markets, blending value from statistical backing with the natural attacking intent on display across Spain.

The table below summarises the key La Liga outcomes from the past five seasons across the three main betting markets.

Season Match Result (Home Wins) Match Result (Draws) Match Result (Away Wins) BTTS (Yes) Over 2.5 Goals Avg. Goals / Match
2020–21 42% 29% 30% 52% 44% 2.51
2021–22 43% 29% 27% 49% 44% 2.50
2022–23 48% 23% 29% 50% 48% 2.51
2023–24 44% 28% 28% 49% 46% 2.64
2024–25 44% 26% 30% 54% 49% 2.62

La Liga Season Guide

The 2025/26 La Liga is the 95th edition of Spain’s top flight, otherwise known as the Primera División. Twenty clubs contest a 38-match schedule from 15 August 2025 to 24 May 2026, with European qualification (the process by which league positions and the Copa del Rey determine which clubs enter the Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League) and relegation of three clubs to the Segunda División shaping the stakes.

The top four finishers from La Liga qualify directly for the Champions League group stage, while fifth place and the Copa del Rey winner advance to the Europa League. Barcelona enter the 2025/26 season as defending champions, while Levante, Elche, and Real Oviedo return to the division after promotion. Opening night featured Girona v Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal v Real Oviedo, setting the tone for a La Liga campaign that mixes Spain’s classic rivalries with fresh storylines.

The sections below explain the format, key dates, and how the fixture list for the 95th edition of La Liga is built for 2025/26.

What Is the Format of the La Liga 2025/26 Season?

La Liga follows a standard double round-robin, meaning each of the 20 clubs plays every other side home and away, producing 38 matches per team. The points system is three for a win, one for a draw, none for a loss. Final standings are decided by points, then head-to-head points and head-to-head goal difference, followed by overall goal difference, goals scored, and fair-play ranking.

The structure of La Liga fixtures keeps the campaign finely balanced, with the league’s top four fighting for Champions League qualification, mid-table sides pushing for continental football, and struggling teams battling to avoid relegation. This blend of long-term consistency and late-spring jeopardy gives La Liga its trademark drama across a full season.

What are the Start & End Dates for La Liga 2025/26?

The La Liga season starts on 15 August 2025 and ends on 24 May 2026, spanning nine months of competition that determine the champions, European qualifiers, and relegated clubs. Matchday 1 began across the weekend of 15–19 August, and the calendar was published on 1 July 2025.

La Liga fixtures are spread across Friday to Monday slots on most rounds, with international breaks, the Supercopa, Copa del Rey ties, and European commitments creating periodic midweek rounds and rescheduled games. Barcelona’s planned return to the renovated Camp Nou is targeted for mid-September, and late-season headliners such as El Clásico in May underline how the schedule keeps major dates prominent through the run-in.

How are La Liga Fixtures built up?

La Liga fixtures are built through a carefully designed process that balances competition, fairness, and logistical considerations. The schedule is released each summer by the Royal Spanish Football Federation (RFEF), ensuring that all 20 clubs face each other twice, once at home and once away, for a total of 38 matches per team. Local authorities and broadcasters influence the calendar, as police request that certain high-risk fixtures, such as the Madrid Derby or El Clásico, are placed on specific dates to ensure safety and maximum viewership.

The outcome of the La Liga scheduling process is a fixture list that maintains the double round-robin format, meaning each of the 20 clubs plays every other team twice, once at home and once away, for a total of 38 matches. The calendar is arranged to accommodate international breaks, Copa del Rey ties, and European commitments. La Liga fixtures are spread across weekends and selected midweek rounds, with the league working to prevent clashes between clubs from the same city and to optimise broadcasting schedules. This system guarantees consistency while preserving the intensity of major rivalries and ensuring that the title race, European places, and relegation battles all unfold in an organised framework.

Which are the Best Bookmakers for La Liga Betting?

The best bookmakers for La Liga betting are those that combine sharp odds, deep market coverage specific to Spanish football, and promotions tailored to one of Europe’s most competitive leagues, while providing high-quality in-play features and mobile usability. Based on these criteria, our top choices for La Liga betting are Bet365, William Hill, and Unibet.

More information about the 3 best bookmakers for La Liga betting is given below.

  • Bet365. Bet365 stands out as a top bookmaker for La Liga betting thanks to its early and comprehensive outright markets, including title odds, top scorer (Pichichi Trophy), and relegation predictions. The platform provides extensive in-play coverage with live streaming of La Liga matches, which adds value in a league famous for dramatic comebacks and late goals. Features like Bet Builder and partial Cash Out allow bettors to tailor their wagers to fixtures such as El Clásico or the Madrid Derby. With consistently competitive odds and wide availability of player props, Bet365 offers one of the most complete experiences for La Liga betting.
  • William Hill. William Hill remains one of the most trusted bookmakers for La Liga bets, offering extensive markets on goals, bookings, corners, and player stats. Their popular Acca Freedom promotion is especially relevant for La Liga multiples, whether covering the title race between Barcelona and Real Madrid or accumulator bets across mid-table clashes. William Hill’s in-play betting experience is reliable, featuring real-time stats that match the intensity of Spanish football. Their long-established reputation and strong market depth make William Hill a dependable choice for those focused on Spain’s top flight.
  • Unibet. Unibet offers a feature-rich sportsbook that makes it an excellent option for La Liga betting, particularly for those interested in niche markets and in-play flexibility. From standard markets such as Match Result and Over/Under goals to specific props like player shots and disciplinary stats, Unibet provides broad coverage of Spain’s top division. Their live interface is intuitive, supported by visualisation tools and live streaming for many matches. Promotions are often extended to La Liga fixtures, while their smooth app ensures players have easy access to betting opportunities on weekends and midweeks alike.

Related Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues including the ones below.

  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League forecasts analyse England’s top clubs, spotlighting the biggest games and title battles.
  • Serie A Predictions. Expert insight into Italy’s leading teams with tactical previews and season-long predictions.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Our German football coverage delivers data-led forecasts for one of Europe’s highest-scoring leagues.
  • Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions. Detailed analysis of Portugal’s top division featuring weekly tips and long-term projections.
  • Champions League Predictions. Expert calls on Europe’s most prestigious competition, tracking the continent’s elite clubs through every stage.
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