Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao face each other in the suburbs of Madrid in what promises to be one of the most exciting games of La Liga round 8. Los Vallecanos aim to return to winning ways following a 1-1 draw with Osasuna, where they registered 19 goal attempts and 1.01 xG. The good news for the hosts is that key player Isi Palazon is back from injury, providing another creative option in the final third. Rayo have been particularly impressive at home lately, winning two of their last three matches and averaging 2.00 goals per game.
The Lions, on the other hand, played out a goalless draw with Alaves in the Basque derby before the international break. Nico Williams is back from international duty, alongside experienced defender Aymeric Laporte, giving Ernesto Valverde more options. Oihan Sancet should keep his place in the starting XI despite missing a penalty against Alaves. Athletic have also been defensively solid recently, keeping clean sheets in five of their last 10 matches and conceding just 1.00 goal per game.
Considering Athletic Bilbao’s splendid defensive record and excellent H2H record, Away Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside Athletic Bilbao or Draw and Over 1.5 goals (75% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +1.5 @ -667 Odds
- European Handicap: Athletic Club +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Athletic Club to Win @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club to Win/Athletic Club to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - No @ -334 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlldlwlwd | 1.10 |
| Home | dww | 2.33 |
| Away | lwlllld | 0.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.33 | 2.71 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.55 | 1.86 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllllwwdd | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Away | wwlllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.88 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 0.82 | 1.36 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (17%)
24 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (58%)
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Past Results
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